Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Fluminense and Vasco DA Gama enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.73 (58% probability) to edge the Copa Do Brasil clash.

Brazil: Copa Do Brasil
Thu, 6th Aug, 2026 Round of 16
Fluminense

Fluminense

D W D
FT
1 - 3
Vasco DA Gama

Vasco DA Gama

W D D
5' John Kennedy
21' Jair
34' Brenner
39' Guilherme Arana
52' Brenner
60' Leo Jardim
61' A. Gomez
67' Cuiabano
74' David
75' PH Ganso
77' Martinelli
90' J. Rodriguez
Prediction: X2 (1.73 Odds) Won
Double Chance 58% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Fluminense

1.05

1.05 – 1.50

Vasco DA Gama

1.50

W. Sampaio

Fluminense

2.05

46% implied

Draw

3.40

28% implied

Vasco DA Gama

3.70

26% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Lost

-2.5

Odds 1.60 63%
Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.73 58%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama

61%   Possession   39%

4   Shots on Target   7

87%   Pass Accuracy   83%

1   Corner Kicks   5

11   Fouls   25

0 3 1
3 5 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

3

Fluminense wins

2

Draws

3

Vasco DA Gama wins

2.1

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

38%

Over 2.5

01 Aug 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0-0
Fluminense
19 Mar 2026
Vasco DA Gama
3-2
Fluminense
01 Mar 2026
Fluminense
1-1
Vasco DA Gama
22 Feb 2026
Vasco DA Gama
0-1
Fluminense
14 Dec 2025
Fluminense
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
11 Dec 2025
Vasco DA Gama
2-1
Fluminense
20 Oct 2025
Vasco DA Gama
2-0
Fluminense
24 May 2025
Fluminense
2-1
Vasco DA Gama

Top scorers

Copa Do Brasil
# Player Team Goals
1
Carlos Vinícius
Gremio
5
2
J. López
Palmeiras
4
3
A. Bernabéi
Internacional
3
4
Rene
Vitoria
3
5
Renan Lodi
Atletico-MG
3
6
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
3
7
Maurício
Palmeiras
3
8
Erick
Vitoria
3
9
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
3
10
F. Amuzu
Gremio
2

Recent form

Fluminense

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitoria 0-3 W
H Internacional 2-1 W
A Chapecoense-sc 2-1 L
H Santos 1-2 L
H Palmeiras 1-2 L
A Flamengo 1-0 L
H Coritiba 4-0 W
A Corinthians 1-3 W
A Platense 2-1 L
A Atletico-MG 3-1 L

Vasco DA Gama

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Atletico Paranaense 1-3 W
A Palmeiras 1-0 L
H Flamengo 1-4 L
H Corinthians 3-2 W
H Boca Juniors 1-3 L
A Sao Paulo 1-0 L
A Boca Juniors 0-1 W
H Remo 0-0 D
A Botafogo 1-2 W
H Coritiba 5-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Fluminense

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.50

Vasco DA Gama

1.50

xG

Our tip model

19%
23%
58%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

46%
28%
26%
Fluminense Draw Vasco DA Gama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Fluminense Vasco DA Gama
50% Recent form 50%
33% Attack 67%
67% Defence 33%
0% Poisson 100%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
50% Overall 50%

Combo Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Fluminense Vasco DA Gama
3 Played 3
1 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
0 Lost 0
2 Goals for 4
1 Goals against 2
2 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Fluminense

Sao Paulo (A) 20 Nov MID
Mirassol (H) 22 Nov MID
Cruzeiro (H) 27 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 03 Dec MID

Vasco DA Gama

Chapecoense-sc (A) 14 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 19 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 22 Nov MID
Atletico-MG (A) 29 Nov MID

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.73 odds).

Fluminense are rated 19% by our tip model, with the draw at 23% and Vasco DA Gama at 58%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 38%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Vasco DA Gama and -3.5 goals

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.73 odds).

Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Model lean: Fluminense 19%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 58%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 38% of the time.

When is Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Thursday, 6th August 2026 at 00:30 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links