Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Sport Recife arrive in strong form (WWLWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Fortaleza EC at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Brazil: Copa do Nordeste
Thu, 28th May, 2026 Semi-finals
Sport Recife

Sport Recife

W W L W W
FT
0 - 2
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

L D W W L
12' Pedro Perotti
37' J. B. Miritello
45+2' J. B. Miritello
58' J. B. Miritello
73' Mauricio Junior
90' J. B. Miritello
90' J. B. Miritello
90+8' Rodrigo
90+8' Benevenuto
Prediction: 1X (1.40 Odds)
Double Chance 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Sport Recife

1.90

1.90 – 0.65

Fortaleza EC

0.65

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife D. Serafim

Sport Recife

2.35

40% implied

Draw

3.40

28% implied

Fortaleza EC

2.88

33% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.40 71%
Banker of The Day Free

1X

Odds 1.40 71%

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

1

Sport Recife wins

2

Draws

4

Fortaleza EC wins

2.1

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

29%

Over 2.5

21 May 2026
Fortaleza EC
1-2
Sport Recife
30 Apr 2026
Fortaleza EC
2-0
Sport Recife
27 Sep 2025
Fortaleza EC
1-0
Sport Recife
26 Apr 2025
Sport Recife
0-0
Fortaleza EC
05 Feb 2025
Sport Recife
0-2
Fortaleza EC
26 May 2024
Sport Recife
1-4
Fortaleza EC
22 Feb 2024
Sport Recife
1-1
Fortaleza EC

Copa do Nordeste table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Vitoria
5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
2
ASA
5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
3
Sousa
5 2 1 2 8:7 1 7
4
Fluminense PI
5 1 3 1 4:4 0 6
5
AO Itabaiana
5 0 3 2 4:8 -4 3

Top scorers

Copa do Nordeste
# Player Team Goals
1
Erick
Vitoria
5
2
Osvaldo
Vitoria
3
3
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
2
4
Henrique Dourado
Botafogo PB
2
5
Lucas Silva
Vitoria
1
6
Habraão
Sport Recife
1
7
Vinicius Zanocelo
Ceara
1
8
Ciel
Ferroviario
1
9
Matheusinho
Ceara
1
10
Luiz Henrique
Retrô
1

Recent form

Sport Recife

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Operario-PR 3-2 L
A Botafogo SP 1-1 D
H Criciuma 2-1 W
H Fortaleza EC 0-2 L
A Atletico Goianiense 1-1 D
H São Bernardo 2-1 W
A Athletic Club 1-2 W
A Nautico Recife 3-1 L
H Juventude 2-1 W
A CRB 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Sport Recife

1.90

xG

Match

1.90 – 0.65

Fortaleza EC

0.65

xG

Our tip model

71%
16%
13%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

40%
28%
33%
Sport Recife Draw Fortaleza EC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Sport Recife Fortaleza EC
63% Recent form 37%
65% Attack 35%
67% Defence 33%
86% Poisson 14%
29% Head-to-head 71%
25% Goals 75%
56% Overall 44%

Double chance : Sport Recife or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
6
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4

Side by side

Sport Recife Fortaleza EC
7 Played 7
6 Won 4
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
14 Goals for 9
4 Goals against 7
4 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Sport Recife

Goias (H) 14 Nov MID

Fortaleza EC

Vila Nova (H) 14 Nov MID
Itapipoca (H) 06 Jan MID
Floresta (A) 09 Jan MID
Maranguape (H) 12 Jan MID

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Sport Recife are rated 71% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Fortaleza EC at 13%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 29%.

Double chance : Sport Recife or draw

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.40 odds).

Who will win Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

Model lean: Sport Recife 71%, draw 16%, Fortaleza EC 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 29% of the time.

When is Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

Thursday, 28th May 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links