Vitoria vs Ceara

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Vitoria arrive in strong form (LWWWD) and are well-fancied to back +1.5 against Ceara at Barradao, with our model giving this a 69% probability at odds of 1.44.

Brazil: Copa do Nordeste
Thu, 7th May, 2026 Quarter-finals
Vitoria

Vitoria

L W W W D
FT
1 - 0
Ceara

Ceara

D L W W W
21' Eder
35' Luiz Otavio
69' Bruno Ferreira
74' Renato Kayzer
85' Alex Silva
89' Nathan Mendes
Prediction: +1.5 (1.44 Odds)
1.5 Goals 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.00

Vitoria

2.35

2.35 – 1.65

Ceara

1.65

Barradao, Salvador D. Serafim

Vitoria

2.05

45% implied

Draw

3.10

30% implied

Ceara

3.60

26% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.44 69%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

Vitoria wins

0

Draws

5

Ceara wins

2.3

Goals / game

22%

Both scored

22%

Over 2.5

02 Oct 2025
Vitoria
1-0
Ceara
03 May 2025
Ceara
1-0
Vitoria
13 Aug 2023
Vitoria
1-0
Ceara
10 May 2023
Ceara
0-2
Vitoria
09 Mar 2023
Vitoria
2-0
Ceara
24 Apr 2021
Ceara
2-0
Vitoria
06 Mar 2021
Ceara
3-1
Vitoria
27 Aug 2020
Vitoria
3-4
Ceara
25 Jul 2020
Ceara
1-0
Vitoria

Top scorers

Copa do Nordeste
# Player Team Goals
1
Erick
Vitoria
5
2
Osvaldo
Vitoria
3
3
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
2
4
Henrique Dourado
Botafogo PB
2
5
Lucas Silva
Vitoria
1
6
Habraão
Sport Recife
1
7
Vinicius Zanocelo
Ceara
1
8
Ciel
Ferroviario
1
9
Matheusinho
Ceara
1
10
Luiz Henrique
Retrô
1

Recent form

Vitoria

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Fluminense 0-3 L
A Coritiba 2-0 L
H Atletico Paranaense 1-1 D
A Corinthians 1-1 D
A Sao Paulo 2-1 L
H Chapecoense-sc 4-0 W
H Cruzeiro 1-3 L
A Mirassol 2-2 D
H Gremio 1-0 W
H Vasco DA Gama 0-2 L

Ceara

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H America Mineiro 0-1 L
A Athletic Club 2-1 L
H Goias 0-2 L
H Juventude 2-2 D
A Botafogo SP 1-0 L
H Criciuma 1-0 W
A Avai 0-1 W
A Operario-PR 2-2 D
H Novorizontino 2-1 W
A Fortaleza EC 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.00

Vitoria

2.35

xG

Match

2.35 – 1.65

Ceara

1.65

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

45%
30%
26%
Vitoria Draw Ceara

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Vitoria Ceara
50% Recent form 50%
56% Attack 44%
43% Defence 57%
53% Poisson 47%
80% Head-to-head 20%
86% Goals 14%
61% Overall 39%

Combo Double chance : Vitoria or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

5
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Vitoria Ceara
5 Played 5
3 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
14 Goals for 11
8 Goals against 6
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Vitoria

RB Bragantino (H) 19 Nov MID
Internacional (A) 23 Nov MID
Santos (H) 29 Nov MID
Vasco DA Gama (A) 03 Dec MID

Ceara

CRB (A) 14 Nov MID
Horizonte (A) 05 Jan MID
Maracanã (H) 10 Jan MID
Iguatu (A) 13 Jan MID

Vitoria vs Ceara: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 1.5 Goals: +1.5 (1.44 odds).

Vitoria are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Ceara at 10%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 22% and over 2.5 in 22%.

Combo Double chance : Vitoria or draw and +1.5 goals

Vitoria vs Ceara FAQs

What is the best prediction for Vitoria vs Ceara?

Our top tip is 1.5 Goals: +1.5 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Vitoria vs Ceara?

Model lean: Vitoria 45%, draw 45%, Ceara 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 22% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 22% of the time.

When is Vitoria vs Ceara?

Thursday, 7th May 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Barradao.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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