Louisville City vs Lexington

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Louisville City vs Lexington is 1, at odds of 1.62 with a 62% probability rating.

USA: USL League One Cup
Sun, 12th Jul, 2026 Group Stage
Louisville City

Louisville City

W W W
FT
4 - 2
Lexington

Lexington

W W L
12' B. P. Rodrigues
24' P. Goodrum
28' J. Wilson
32' P. Goodrum
32' P. Goodrum
34' C. Donovan
41' C. Donovan
43' X. Zengue
59' J. Wilson
66' K. Lambert
73' J. Brown
89' T. Davila
Prediction: 1 (1.62 Odds) Won
Home Win 62% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.50

Louisville City

2.00

2.00 – 1.50

Lexington

1.50

Lynn Family Stadium

Louisville City

1.62

55% implied

Draw

4.00

22% implied

Lexington

4.00

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.62 62%
Super Single Won

1

Odds 1.62 62%

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

6

Louisville City wins

0

Draws

0

Lexington wins

2.7

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

01 Apr 2026
Lexington
0-2
Louisville City
07 Mar 2026
Lexington
1-2
Louisville City
26 Jul 2025
Lexington
1-2
Louisville City
02 May 2025
Louisville City
2-0
Lexington
24 Feb 2025
Louisville City
3-2
Lexington
05 Apr 2023
Louisville City
1-0
Lexington

Top scorers

USL League One Cup
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Locadia
Miami FC
2

Recent form

Louisville City

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Miami FC 3-2 W
H Detroit City 0-0 D
A Sporting JAX 0-2 W
H Indy Eleven 4-1 W
A Charleston Battery 0-2 W
A Hartford Athletic 0-1 W
A Hartford Athletic 2-2 D
H Loudoun United 2-1 W
H El Paso Locomotive 1-2 L
A Rhode Island 1-1 D

Lexington

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Phoenix Rising 3-3 D
A Las Vegas Lights 3-5 W
H FC Tulsa 0-0 D
H El Paso Locomotive 3-1 W
A Monterey Bay 2-3 W
H Orange County SC 6-0 W
A Oakland Roots 1-4 W
A Sporting JAX 3-2 L
H Colorado Springs 0-1 L
A New Mexico United 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.50

Louisville City

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 1.50

Lexington

1.50

xG

Our tip model

62%
21%
17%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

55%
22%
22%
Louisville City Draw Lexington

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Louisville City Lexington
60% Recent form 40%
60% Attack 40%
67% Defence 33%
58% Poisson 42%
100% Head-to-head 0%
73% Goals 27%
64% Overall 36%

Double chance : Louisville City or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Louisville City Lexington
3 Played 3
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
9 Goals for 6
2 Goals against 4
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Louisville City

Charleston Battery (A) 14 Nov MID

Louisville City vs Lexington: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.62 odds).

Louisville City are rated 62% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Lexington at 17%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Louisville City or draw

Louisville City vs Lexington FAQs

What is the best prediction for Louisville City vs Lexington?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.62 odds).

Who will win Louisville City vs Lexington?

Model lean: Louisville City 62%, draw 21%, Lexington 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Louisville City vs Lexington?

Sunday, 12th July 2026 at 00:00 UTC , Lynn Family Stadium.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links