Lens vs Nice

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Lens arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Nice at Stade de France, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

France: Coupe de France
Fri, 22nd May, 2026 Final
Lens

Lens

W W W W W
FT
3 - 1
Nice

Nice

W W W W W
25' F. Thauvin
36' Saud Abdulhamid
42' O. Edouard
45' D. Coulibaly
78' A. Sima
85' Kojo Peprah Oppong
90+3' Matthieu Udol
90+2' Morgan Sanson
Prediction: 1 (1.50 Odds) Won
Home Win 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.25

Lens

1.90

1.90 – 1.35

Nice

1.35

Stade de France, Paris - Saint-Denis J. Brisard

Lens

1.50

62% implied

Draw

4.75

20% implied

Nice

5.25

18% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.50 67%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Lens vs Nice

42%   Possession   58%

4   Shots on Target   6

81%   Pass Accuracy   84%

9   Corner Kicks   7

16   Fouls   12

0 2 3
0 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

2

Lens wins

3

Draws

4

Nice wins

1.8

Goals / game

22%

Both scored

22%

Over 2.5

02 May 2026
Nice
1-1
Lens
14 Dec 2025
Lens
2-0
Nice
08 Feb 2025
Nice
2-0
Lens
28 Sep 2024
Lens
0-0
Nice
16 Mar 2024
Lens
1-3
Nice
20 Dec 2023
Nice
2-0
Lens
01 Feb 2023
Lens
0-1
Nice
29 Dec 2022
Nice
0-0
Lens
10 Apr 2022
Lens
3-0
Nice

Recent form

Lens

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Marseille 1-2 L
H Como 1-9 L
A Lille 1-0 L
H Paris FC 2-1 W
A Club Brugge KV 3-0 L
A Estac Troyes 1-3 W
H Sporting CP 0-2 L
H Lyon 2-1 W
A Standard Liege 0-2 W
A Monaco 2-1 L

Nice

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Angers 0-2 W
H Rennes 5-2 W
A Stade Brestois 29 1-2 W
A Lyon 2-1 L
H Strasbourg 2-1 W
H Lille 2-1 W
A Auxerre 1-0 L
H Le Mans 1-1 D
A Paris FC 3-0 L
H Lorient 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.25

Lens

1.90

xG

Match

1.90 – 1.35

Nice

1.35

xG

Our tip model

67%
18%
15%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

62%
20%
18%
Lens Draw Nice

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Lens Nice
50% Recent form 50%
63% Attack 37%
40% Defence 60%
53% Poisson 47%
38% Head-to-head 62%
40% Goals 60%
47% Overall 53%

Double chance : draw or Nice

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0

Side by side

Lens Nice
5 Played 5
5 Won 5
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
17 Goals for 10
6 Goals against 4
1 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Lens

Toulouse (H) 21 Nov MID
RB Leipzig (A) 24 Nov MID
Angers (A) 28 Nov MID
Le Havre (H) 05 Dec MID

Nice

Paris Saint Germain (H) 21 Nov MID
Estac Troyes (H) 28 Nov MID
Marseille (A) 06 Dec MID
Lens (H) 12 Dec MID

Lens vs Nice: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.50 odds).

Lens are rated 67% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Nice at 15%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 1.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 22% and over 2.5 in 22%.

Double chance : draw or Nice

Lens vs Nice FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lens vs Nice?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.50 odds).

Who will win Lens vs Nice?

Model lean: Lens 67%, draw 18%, Nice 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 22% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 22% of the time.

When is Lens vs Nice?

Friday, 22nd May 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Stade de France.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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