Celtic vs Dunfermline

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Celtic arrive in strong form (WWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Dunfermline at Hampden Park, with our model giving this a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

Scotland: FA Cup
Sat, 23rd May, 2026 Final
Celtic

Celtic

W W W W
FT
3 - 1
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

W W W W W
19' D. Maeda
36' A. Engels
40' Charlie Gilmour
53' Auston Trusty
73' K. Iheanacho
80' J. Cooper
Prediction: 1 (1.22 Odds) Won
Home Win 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Celtic

2.05

2.05 – 0.75

Dunfermline

0.75

Hampden Park, Glasgow Steven McLean, Scotland

Celtic

1.22

76% implied

Draw

6.50

14% implied

Dunfermline

9.00

10% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.22 82%
Free Tip Won

1

Odds 1.23 81%
2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.50 67%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Celtic vs Dunfermline

70%   Possession   30%

5   Shots on Target   3

0   Pass Accuracy   0

3   Corner Kicks   2

8   Fouls   7

0 1 0
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

4

Celtic wins

0

Draws

0

Dunfermline wins

2.8

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

17 Aug 2019
Celtic
2-1
Dunfermline
22 Feb 2012
Celtic
2-0
Dunfermline
02 Jan 2012
Dunfermline
0-3
Celtic
23 Nov 2011
Celtic
2-1
Dunfermline

Recent form

Celtic

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Kilmarnock 1-0 W
H Beşiktaş 3-2 W
A Falkirk 2-0 L
H Dundee Utd 2-2 D
A Hibernian 1-2 W
H Celta Vigo 1-2 L
H Heart Of Midlothian 7-1 W
A Benfica 4-1 L
A Motherwell 0-2 W
H Rangers 0-1 L

Dunfermline

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Raith Rovers 0-0 D
A Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-4 W
H Inverness CT 5-1 W
A Stenhousemuir 0-1 W
A Queen's Park 0-1 W
H Partick 1-1 D
H Livingston 0-0 D
A Ayr Utd 1-1 D
H Aberdeen 1-4 L
A Morton 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.80

Celtic

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 0.75

Dunfermline

0.75

xG

Our tip model

82%
10%
8%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

76%
14%
10%
Celtic Draw Dunfermline

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Celtic Dunfermline
44% Recent form 56%
55% Attack 45%
25% Defence 75%
100% Head-to-head 0%
82% Goals 18%
52% Overall 49%

Double chance : Celtic or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
4
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Celtic Dunfermline
4 Played 5
4 Won 5
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
11 Goals for 9
3 Goals against 1
2 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Celtic

ST Mirren (H) 21 Nov MID
Torreense (A) 26 Nov MID
Heart Of Midlothian (A) 29 Nov MID
Dundee (A) 02 Dec MID

Dunfermline

Morton (H) 21 Nov MID
Kelty Hearts (H) 24 Nov MID
Queen of the South (A) 28 Nov MID
Arbroath (H) 01 Dec MID

Celtic vs Dunfermline: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.22 odds).

Celtic are rated 82% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and Dunfermline at 8%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Double chance : Celtic or draw

Celtic vs Dunfermline FAQs

What is the best prediction for Celtic vs Dunfermline?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.22 odds).

Who will win Celtic vs Dunfermline?

Model lean: Celtic 82%, draw 10%, Dunfermline 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Celtic vs Dunfermline?

Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 14:00 UTC , Hampden Park.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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