San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United FC enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.83 (55% probability) to edge the US Open Cup clash.

USA: US Open Cup
Wed, 29th Apr, 2026 Round of 16
San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes

W
FT
4 - 2
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

W
15' B. Leroux
27' R. Vieira
45' P. Judd
59' R. Vieira
63' T. Chancalay
68' J. Skahan
73' B. Leroux
75' N. Tsakiris
Prediction: X2 (1.83 Odds)
Double Chance 55% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.60

San Jose Earthquakes

1.05

1.05 – 0.55

Minnesota United FC

0.55

PayPal Park L. Hernandez

San Jose Earthquakes

1.90

49% implied

Draw

3.80

24% implied

Minnesota United FC

3.50

27% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Free

+2.5

Odds 1.62 62%
Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.83 55%

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

1

San Jose Earthquakes wins

2

Draws

4

Minnesota United FC wins

2.9

Goals / game

71%

Both scored

43%

Over 2.5

13 Jul 2025
Minnesota United FC
4-1
San Jose Earthquakes
09 Mar 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1
Minnesota United FC
01 Sep 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2
Minnesota United FC
21 Jul 2024
Minnesota United FC
2-0
San Jose Earthquakes
01 Oct 2023
Minnesota United FC
1-1
San Jose Earthquakes
03 Sep 2023
San Jose Earthquakes
1-1
Minnesota United FC
15 Feb 2023
Minnesota United FC
1-4
San Jose Earthquakes

Top scorers

US Open Cup
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro Amador
Atlanta United FC
1
2
A. Méndez
El Paso Locomotive
1
3
H. Herrera
Houston Dynamo
0
4
I. Angulo
Orlando City SC
0
5
J. Rodríguez
Minnesota United FC
0
6
J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
0
7
R. Cannon
Colorado Rapids
0
8
André Gomes
Columbus Crew
0
9
E. Mihaj
Atlanta United FC
0
10
Pedro Santos
Loudoun United
0

Recent form

San Jose Earthquakes

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Minnesota United FC 3-1 L
H Real Salt Lake 2-1 W
H Colorado Rapids 2-2 D
A FC Dallas 3-0 L
H Nashville SC 1-1 D
A Real Salt Lake 1-1 D
A Colorado Rapids 1-1 D
H Portland Timbers 3-1 W
H Los Angeles FC 2-2 D
H Houston Dynamo 1-0 W

Minnesota United FC

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 W
A Los Angeles FC 1-3 W
H Sporting Kansas City 3-1 W
A Houston Dynamo 0-0 D
H St. Louis City 3-2 W
A Colorado Rapids 2-2 D
H Houston Dynamo 2-2 D
A Seattle Sounders 3-1 L
H Los Angeles Galaxy 2-3 L
A St. Louis City 4-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.60

San Jose Earthquakes

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 0.55

Minnesota United FC

0.55

xG

Our tip model

20%
25%
55%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

49%
24%
27%
San Jose Earthquakes Draw Minnesota United FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

San Jose Earthquakes Minnesota United FC
50% Recent form 50%
67% Attack 33%
7% Head-to-head 93%
23% Goals 77%
37% Overall 63%

Double chance : draw or Minnesota United FC

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

San Jose Earthquakes Minnesota United FC
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2 Goals for 1
0 Goals against 0
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

San Jose Earthquakes

Houston Dynamo (H) 25 Nov MID
Houston Dynamo (A) 28 Nov MID

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.83 odds).

San Jose Earthquakes are rated 20% by our tip model, with the draw at 25% and Minnesota United FC at 55%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 71% and over 2.5 in 43%.

Double chance : draw or Minnesota United FC

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.83 odds).

Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?

Model lean: San Jose Earthquakes 20%, draw 25%, Minnesota United FC 55%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 71% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 43% of the time.

When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?

Wednesday, 29th April 2026 at 02:00 UTC , PayPal Park.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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