Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Houston Dynamo and Louisville City enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.65 (61% probability) to edge the US Open Cup clash.

USA: US Open Cup
Thu, 30th Apr, 2026 Round of 16
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

W
AET
2 - 1
Louisville City

Louisville City

W W W
40' B. Dayes
67' R. Serrano
78' O. Lingr
89' E. Sviatchenko
101' E. Ponce
112' E. Ponce
117' C. Duke
120+1' R. Serrano
Prediction: 1 (1.65 Odds)
Home Win 61% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.55

Houston Dynamo

2.05

2.05 – 1.50

Louisville City

1.50

Shell Energy Stadium M. De Oliveira

Houston Dynamo

1.65

55% implied

Draw

3.90

23% implied

Louisville City

4.33

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.65 61%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1 games

1

Houston Dynamo wins

0

Draws

0

Louisville City wins

6

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

24 Jan 2026
Houston Dynamo
4-2
Louisville City

Recent form

Houston Dynamo

1 W 5 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H St. Louis City 0-1 L
A Portland Timbers 3-1 L
A Seattle Sounders 0-1 W
H Minnesota United FC 0-0 D
H FC Dallas 2-2 D
A San Diego 3-3 D
A Minnesota United FC 2-2 D
H Sporting Kansas City 0-2 L
H FC Cincinnati 2-2 D
A San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 L

Louisville City

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Miami FC 3-2 W
H Detroit City 0-0 D
A Sporting JAX 0-2 W
H Indy Eleven 4-1 W
A Charleston Battery 0-2 W
A Hartford Athletic 0-1 W
A Hartford Athletic 2-2 D
H Loudoun United 2-1 W
H El Paso Locomotive 1-2 L
A Rhode Island 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.55

Houston Dynamo

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 1.50

Louisville City

1.50

xG

Our tip model

61%
21%
18%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

55%
23%
21%
Houston Dynamo Draw Louisville City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Houston Dynamo Louisville City
25% Recent form 75%
40% Attack 60%
50% Defence 50%
0% Poisson 100%
100% Head-to-head 0%
67% Goals 33%
46% Overall 55%

Double chance : draw or Louisville City

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
4
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Houston Dynamo Louisville City
1 Played 3
1 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
4 Goals for 6
1 Goals against 1
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Houston Dynamo

San Jose Earthquakes (A) 25 Nov MID
San Jose Earthquakes (H) 28 Nov MID

Louisville City

Charleston Battery (A) 14 Nov MID

Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Houston Dynamo are rated 61% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Louisville City at 18%.

In the last 1 meetings they averaged 6 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : draw or Louisville City

Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City FAQs

What is the best prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.65 odds).

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?

Model lean: Houston Dynamo 61%, draw 21%, Louisville City 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 6 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Houston Dynamo vs Louisville City?

Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 00:00 UTC , Shell Energy Stadium.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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