Sweden vs Poland

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Poland travel in excellent form (WWDWW) while Sweden have struggled recently (LLLDW), making 2 at odds of 3.90 our pick for the meeting at Strawberry Arena.

World: World Cup - Qualification Europe
Tue, 31st Mar, 2026 Final
Sweden

Sweden

L L L D W
FT
3 - 2
Poland

Poland

W W D W W
19' A. Elanga
33' N. Zalewski
43' Jakub Kiwior
44' G. Lagerbielke
55' K. Swiderski
62' Jesper Karlström
65' Oskar Pietuszewski
76' Lucas Bergvall
88' V. Gyokeres
90+4' Krzysztof Piątek
Prediction: 2 (3.90 Odds)
Away Win 26% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Sweden

0.80

0.80 – 1.55

Poland

1.55

Strawberry Arena, Solna S. Vincic

Sweden

2.08

47% implied

Draw

3.51

28% implied

Poland

4.00

25% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.36 74%
Free Tip Free

Ov 1.5

Odds 1.37 73%
Draws Free

X

Odds 3.35 30%
Away Win Free

2

Odds 3.90 26%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Sweden vs Poland

33%   Possession   67%

5   Shots on Target   7

73%   Pass Accuracy   85%

2   Corner Kicks   9

15   Fouls   15

0 2 1
4 3 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

1

Sweden wins

0

Draws

1

Poland wins

3.5

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

29 Mar 2022
Poland
2-0
Sweden
23 Jun 2021
Sweden
3-2
Poland

Recent form

Sweden

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Romania 0-1 W
A Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1 D
H Poland 3-1 W
H Romania 2-1 W
A France 3-0 L
A Japan 1-1 D
A Netherlands 5-1 L
H Tunisia 5-1 W
H Greece 2-2 D
A Norway 3-1 L

Poland

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 L
H Romania 6-0 W
A Sweden 3-1 L
H Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-0 D
H Nigeria 2-2 D
H Ukraine 0-2 L
A Sweden 3-2 L
H Albania 2-1 W
A Malta 2-3 W
H Netherlands 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.35

Sweden

0.80

xG

Match

0.80 – 1.55

Poland

1.55

xG

Our tip model

33%
41%
26%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

47%
28%
25%
Sweden Draw Poland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Sweden Poland
24% Recent form 76%
31% Attack 69%
36% Defence 64%
12% Poisson 88%
50% Head-to-head 50%
43% Goals 57%
33% Overall 67%

Double chance : draw or Poland

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
1

Side by side

Sweden Poland
7 Played 9
1 Won 6
2 Drawn 2
4 Lost 1
7 Goals for 16
13 Goals against 8
0 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Sweden

Bosnia & Herzegovina (H) 14 Nov MID
Poland (A) 17 Nov MID

Poland

Romania (A) 14 Nov MID
Sweden (H) 17 Nov MID

Sweden vs Poland: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (3.90 odds).

Sweden are rated 33% by our tip model, with the draw at 41% and Poland at 26%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 3.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : draw or Poland

Sweden vs Poland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sweden vs Poland?

Our top tip is Away Win: 2 (3.90 odds).

Who will win Sweden vs Poland?

Model lean: Sweden 33%, draw 41%, Poland 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Sweden vs Poland?

Tuesday, 31st March 2026 at 18:45 UTC , Strawberry Arena.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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