Ceara vs Fortaleza EC

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Fortaleza EC travel in excellent form (WW) while Ceara have struggled recently (DL), making -2.5 at odds of 1.85 our pick.

Brazil: Copa do Nordeste
Thu, 9th Apr, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Ceara

Ceara

D L
FT
2 - 0
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

W W
20' Ryan
20' Richard
22' Fernandinho
22' E. Britez
22' Mailton
23' Julio Cesar
24' Wendel Silva
56' Joao Gabriel
68' Fernando
72' Fernando
74' Richardson
90+6' Lucas Gazal
Prediction: -2.5 (1.85 Odds)
2.5 Goals 54% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.55

Ceara

0.55

0.55 – 1.00

Fortaleza EC

1.00

Ceara

2.25

40% implied

Draw

3.00

30% implied

Fortaleza EC

3.00

30% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Free

-2.5

Odds 1.85 54%

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

2

Ceara wins

5

Draws

0

Fortaleza EC wins

1.4

Goals / game

57%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

08 Mar 2026
Ceara
1-1
Fortaleza EC
01 Mar 2026
Fortaleza EC
1-1
Ceara
08 Feb 2026
Ceara
0-0
Fortaleza EC
06 Nov 2025
Ceara
1-1
Fortaleza EC
13 Jul 2025
Fortaleza EC
0-1
Ceara
22 Mar 2025
Ceara
1-1
Fortaleza EC
15 Mar 2025
Fortaleza EC
0-1
Ceara

Top scorers

Copa do Nordeste
# Player Team Goals
1
Erick
Vitoria
5
2
Osvaldo
Vitoria
3
3
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
2
4
Henrique Dourado
Botafogo PB
2
5
Lucas Silva
Vitoria
1
6
Habraão
Sport Recife
1
7
Vinicius Zanocelo
Ceara
1
8
Ciel
Ferroviario
1
9
Matheusinho
Ceara
1
10
Luiz Henrique
Retrô
1

Recent form

Ceara

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H America Mineiro 0-1 L
A Athletic Club 2-1 L
H Goias 0-2 L
H Juventude 2-2 D
A Botafogo SP 1-0 L
H Criciuma 1-0 W
A Avai 0-1 W
A Operario-PR 2-2 D
H Novorizontino 2-1 W
A Fortaleza EC 1-1 D

Fortaleza EC

3 W 6 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Novorizontino 2-1 L
H Atletico Goianiense 0-0 D
A Ponte Preta 2-2 D
A Sport Recife 0-2 W
H CRB 2-2 D
A America Mineiro 0-1 W
H Nautico Recife 1-1 D
H Athletic Club 2-2 D
A Londrina 1-2 W
H Ceara 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.55

Ceara

0.55

xG

Match

0.55 – 1.00

Fortaleza EC

1.00

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

40%
30%
30%
Ceara Draw Fortaleza EC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Ceara Fortaleza EC
14% Recent form 86%
40% Attack 60%
20% Defence 80%
0% Poisson 100%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
35% Overall 65%

Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Ceara Fortaleza EC
2 Played 2
0 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
2 Goals for 3
4 Goals against 1
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Ceara

CRB (A) 14 Nov MID
Horizonte (A) 05 Jan MID
Maracanã (H) 10 Jan MID
Iguatu (A) 13 Jan MID

Fortaleza EC

Vila Nova (H) 14 Nov MID
Itapipoca (H) 06 Jan MID
Floresta (A) 09 Jan MID
Maranguape (H) 12 Jan MID

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: -2.5 (1.85 odds).

Ceara are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Fortaleza EC at 45%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 1.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 57% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC

Ceara vs Fortaleza EC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: -2.5 (1.85 odds).

Who will win Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

Model lean: Ceara 10%, draw 45%, Fortaleza EC 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 57% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is Ceara vs Fortaleza EC?

Thursday, 9th April 2026 at 00:30 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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