Sport Recife vs Retrô

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Sport Recife arrive in strong form (WW) and are well-fancied to back -3.5 against Retrô at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.40.

Brazil: Copa do Nordeste
Thu, 9th Apr, 2026 Group Stage - 3
Sport Recife

Sport Recife

W W
FT
3 - 0
Retrô

Retrô

W W
41' Ze Gabriel
52' Yago Felipe
61' Iury Castilho
72' Radsley
74' Chrystian Barletta
77' Habraao
88' Guilherme
Prediction: -3.5 (1.40 Odds)
3 5 Goals 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Sport Recife

1.05

1.05 – 1.00

Retrô

1.00

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife

Sport Recife

1.73

52% implied

Draw

3.60

25% implied

Retrô

3.90

23% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.40 71%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

6

Sport Recife wins

1

Draws

2

Retrô wins

3.2

Goals / game

67%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

21 Feb 2026
Sport Recife
3-2
Retrô
12 Feb 2026
Retrô
0-1
Sport Recife
15 Jan 2026
Sport Recife
2-0
Retrô
03 Apr 2025
Sport Recife
1-2
Retrô
22 Mar 2025
Retrô
2-3
Sport Recife
18 Jan 2025
Sport Recife
1-1
Retrô
17 Jan 2024
Sport Recife
2-4
Retrô
22 Apr 2023
Sport Recife
2-0
Retrô
15 Apr 2023
Retrô
1-2
Sport Recife

Top scorers

Copa do Nordeste
# Player Team Goals
1
Erick
Vitoria
5
2
Osvaldo
Vitoria
3
3
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
2
4
Henrique Dourado
Botafogo PB
2
5
Lucas Silva
Vitoria
1
6
Habraão
Sport Recife
1
7
Vinicius Zanocelo
Ceara
1
8
Ciel
Ferroviario
1
9
Matheusinho
Ceara
1
10
Luiz Henrique
Retrô
1

Recent form

Sport Recife

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Operario-PR 3-2 L
A Botafogo SP 1-1 D
H Criciuma 2-1 W
H Fortaleza EC 0-2 L
A Atletico Goianiense 1-1 D
H São Bernardo 2-1 W
A Athletic Club 1-2 W
A Nautico Recife 3-1 L
H Juventude 2-1 W
A CRB 2-1 L

Retrô

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Treze 3-0 W
A Serra Branca 0-0 D
H Lagarto 1-1 D
H Decisão 2-1 W
A Sergipe 1-0 L
H Sergipe 1-3 L
H America-RN 2-1 W
A Decisão 3-2 L
A Lagarto 1-2 W
A Ferroviario 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Sport Recife

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.00

Retrô

1.00

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

52%
25%
23%
Sport Recife Draw Retrô

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Sport Recife Retrô
50% Recent form 50%
43% Attack 57%
50% Defence 50%
0% Poisson 100%
80% Head-to-head 20%
63% Goals 38%
57% Overall 43%

Combo Double chance : Sport Recife or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Sport Recife Retrô
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals for 4
1 Goals against 1
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Sport Recife

Goias (H) 14 Nov MID

Sport Recife vs Retrô: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.40 odds).

Sport Recife are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Retrô at 10%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 67% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Combo Double chance : Sport Recife or draw and -3.5 goals

Sport Recife vs Retrô FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sport Recife vs Retrô?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Sport Recife vs Retrô?

Model lean: Sport Recife 45%, draw 45%, Retrô 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 67% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Sport Recife vs Retrô?

Thursday, 9th April 2026 at 00:30 UTC , Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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