Paide vs Vaprus

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Paide arrive in strong form (WWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Vaprus at Paide linnastaadion, with our model giving this a 69% probability at odds of 1.44.

Estonia: Cup
Wed, 6th May, 2026 Semi-finals
Paide

Paide

W W W
FT
2 - 0
Vaprus

Vaprus

W W W W
35' D. Luts
50' M. Lepik
90+4' R. Smirnov
90+5' M. Jobarteh
90' H. Anier
Prediction: 1 (1.44 Odds) Won
Free Tip 69% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 5.30

Paide

3.25

3.25 – 2.05

Vaprus

2.05

Paide linnastaadion, Paide J. Frischer

Paide

1.37

66% implied

Draw

4.50

20% implied

Vaprus

6.69

14% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Won

HWEH

Odds 1.28 78%
Free Tip Won

1

Odds 1.44 69%
Super Single Won

1

Odds 1.44 69%

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

4

Paide wins

0

Draws

2

Vaprus wins

2.3

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

07 Mar 2026
Vaprus
3-2
Paide
02 Nov 2025
Paide
3-0
Vaprus
30 Aug 2025
Vaprus
1-0
Paide
18 Jun 2025
Vaprus
1-2
Paide
09 Apr 2025
Paide
1-0
Vaprus
23 Oct 2024
Vaprus
0-1
Paide

Top scorers

Cup
# Player Team Goals
1
Artjom Dmitrijev
FC Tallinn
1
2
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
1

Recent form

Paide

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Flora Tallinn 2-2 D
A Vaprus 0-1 W
H Kalju Nomme 0-2 L
A Kuressaare 0-1 W
H Trans Narva 2-1 W
H Tammeka 2-1 W
A FC Levadia Tallinn 1-0 L
A Nõmme United 1-3 W
H Vaprus 2-0 W
H Laagri 1-2 L

Vaprus

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Tammeka 0-5 W
H Paide 0-1 L
H Kuressaare 1-1 D
A Nõmme United 4-2 L
A Laagri 2-0 L
H Kalju Nomme 2-2 D
H Trans Narva 2-2 D
A Flora Tallinn 3-2 L
A Paide 2-0 L
A FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 5.30

Paide

3.25

xG

Match

3.25 – 2.05

Vaprus

2.05

xG

Our tip model

69%
17%
14%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

66%
20%
14%
Paide Draw Vaprus

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Paide Vaprus
43% Recent form 57%
28% Attack 72%
75% Defence 25%
100% Poisson 0%
60% Head-to-head 40%
62% Goals 38%
54% Overall 46%

Combo Double chance : Paide or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
9
3
31-45'
5
2
46-60'
6
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
4
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Paide Vaprus
3 Played 4
3 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
11 Goals for 28
1 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

Paide vs Vaprus: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.44 odds).

Paide are rated 69% by our tip model, with the draw at 17% and Vaprus at 14%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Combo Double chance : Paide or draw and +1.5 goals

Paide vs Vaprus FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paide vs Vaprus?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.44 odds).

Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?

Model lean: Paide 69%, draw 17%, Vaprus 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Paide vs Vaprus?

Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 15:15 UTC , Paide linnastaadion.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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