Dunfermline vs Falkirk

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Dunfermline and Falkirk enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 2.10 (48% probability) to edge the FA Cup clash.

Scotland: FA Cup
Sat, 18th Apr, 2026 Semi-finals
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

W W W W
PEN
0 - 0
Falkirk

Falkirk

W W W
17' Nurudeen Abdulai
36' Chris Kane
58' Leon McCann
58' Connor Allan
79' Filip Lissah
84' Andy Tod
96' Dylan Tait
110' Tashan Oakley-Boothe
115' Henry Cartwright
116' Kieran Ngwenya
120+1' Henry Cartwright
120+1' Henry Cartwright
Prediction: 1X (2.10 Odds) Won
Double Chance 48% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Dunfermline

1.25

1.25 – 1.15

Falkirk

1.15

Hampden Park, Glasgow John Beaton, Scotland

Dunfermline

4.33

22% implied

Draw

4.00

23% implied

Falkirk

1.70

55% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Lost

+2.5

Odds 1.75 57%
Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 2.10 48%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

3

Dunfermline wins

3

Draws

3

Falkirk wins

2.6

Goals / game

44%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

08 Mar 2025
Falkirk
1-0
Dunfermline
27 Dec 2024
Dunfermline
3-3
Falkirk
26 Oct 2024
Falkirk
2-1
Dunfermline
10 Aug 2024
Dunfermline
0-2
Falkirk
08 Apr 2023
Falkirk
2-2
Dunfermline
07 Mar 2023
Dunfermline
2-0
Falkirk
05 Nov 2022
Falkirk
0-1
Dunfermline
17 Sep 2022
Dunfermline
1-1
Falkirk
09 Oct 2020
Dunfermline
2-0
Falkirk

Recent form

Dunfermline

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Raith Rovers 0-0 D
A Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-4 W
H Inverness CT 5-1 W
A Stenhousemuir 0-1 W
A Queen's Park 0-1 W
H Partick 1-1 D
H Livingston 0-0 D
A Ayr Utd 1-1 D
H Aberdeen 1-4 L
A Morton 0-1 W

Falkirk

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Heart Of Midlothian 2-5 W
H Celtic 2-0 W
A Aberdeen 0-1 W
H Kilmarnock 3-0 W
A Hibernian 1-2 W
H Dundee 1-2 L
A ST Johnstone 1-1 D
H Heart Of Midlothian 2-1 W
A Dundee Utd 1-1 D
H Rangers 1-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.40

Dunfermline

1.25

xG

Match

1.25 – 1.15

Falkirk

1.15

xG

Our tip model

48%
29%
23%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

22%
23%
55%
Dunfermline Draw Falkirk

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Dunfermline Falkirk
57% Recent form 43%
57% Attack 43%
67% Defence 33%
63% Poisson 37%
15% Head-to-head 85%
38% Goals 63%
50% Overall 51%

Combo Double chance : Dunfermline or draw and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

4
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Dunfermline Falkirk
4 Played 3
4 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
8 Goals for 6
1 Goals against 2
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Dunfermline

Morton (H) 21 Nov MID
Kelty Hearts (H) 24 Nov MID
Queen of the South (A) 28 Nov MID
Arbroath (H) 01 Dec MID

Falkirk

ST Johnstone (H) 21 Nov MID
Rangers (A) 28 Nov MID
Motherwell (H) 02 Dec MID
Dundee (A) 05 Dec MID

Dunfermline vs Falkirk: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (2.10 odds).

Dunfermline are rated 48% by our tip model, with the draw at 29% and Falkirk at 23%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.6 goals per game, with BTTS in 44% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Combo Double chance : Dunfermline or draw and -3.5 goals

Dunfermline vs Falkirk FAQs

What is the best prediction for Dunfermline vs Falkirk?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (2.10 odds).

Who will win Dunfermline vs Falkirk?

Model lean: Dunfermline 48%, draw 29%, Falkirk 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 44% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.6 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Dunfermline vs Falkirk?

Saturday, 18th April 2026 at 11:30 UTC , Hampden Park.

Match Preview

Dunfermline and Falkirk enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 2.10 (48% probability) to edge the FA Cup clash.

Match Info Summary

Teams: Dunfermline vs Falkirk 

Date: Sat, Apr 18, 2026

Time: 11:30 UTC 

Venue: Hampden Park, Glasgow

Check our prediction page now to see the complete Dunfermline vs Falkirk prediction, analysis, and odds for today. 

Free Tips
Free 2 Odds
Banker of The Day
1.5 Goals
2.5 Goals
Double Chance
Home Win
Away Win
Super Single
BTTS/GG
Draws
Win Either Half
All Football Predictions
Football Predictions for Yesterday
Football Predictions for Today
Football Predictions for Tomorrow
Football Predictions for the Weekend

Networks:

Trusted football Prediction Website
S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links

Quick Links

Bet of the Day
Live Scores
Free Predictions
Partners
Testimonials
Sport News
Contact Us
Terms & Conditions

Chat Us On WhatsApp Telegram