Lens vs Toulouse

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Lens and Toulouse enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Coupe de France clash.

France: Coupe de France
Tue, 21st Apr, 2026 Semi-finals
Lens

Lens

W W W W
FT
4 - 1
Toulouse

Toulouse

W W W W
8' Pape Diop
9' F. Thauvin
18' A. Saint-Maximin
21' S. Hidalgo
35' M. Udol
58' Cristian Cásseres Jr.
74' A. Thomasson
Prediction: 1 (1.57 Odds) Won
Home Win 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.80

Lens

2.15

2.15 – 1.65

Toulouse

1.65

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens W. Delajod

Lens

1.57

59% implied

Draw

3.90

24% implied

Toulouse

5.50

17% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.57 64%
2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.73 58%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Lens vs Toulouse

62%   Possession   38%

10   Shots on Target   1

85%   Pass Accuracy   79%

6   Corner Kicks   0

10   Fouls   12

0 0 0
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

7

Lens wins

1

Draws

1

Toulouse wins

2.3

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

44%

Over 2.5

17 Apr 2026
Lens
3-2
Toulouse
02 Jan 2026
Toulouse
0-3
Lens
10 May 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Lens
05 Jan 2025
Lens
0-1
Toulouse
28 Jan 2024
Toulouse
0-2
Lens
24 Sep 2023
Lens
2-1
Toulouse
02 May 2023
Toulouse
0-1
Lens
28 Oct 2022
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
14 Mar 2015
Lens
1-0
Toulouse

Recent form

Lens

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Marseille 1-2 L
H Como 1-9 L
A Lille 1-0 L
H Paris FC 2-1 W
A Club Brugge KV 3-0 L
A Estac Troyes 1-3 W
H Sporting CP 0-2 L
H Lyon 2-1 W
A Standard Liege 0-2 W
A Monaco 2-1 L

Toulouse

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Strasbourg 3-1 W
A Marseille 2-0 L
H Estac Troyes 0-0 D
A Le Mans 0-3 W
A Monaco 2-2 D
H PAU 2-3 L
H Le Havre 3-2 W
A Lorient 2-2 D
H Lille 0-1 L
A Stade Brestois 29 2-2 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.80

Lens

2.15

xG

Match

2.15 – 1.65

Toulouse

1.65

xG

Our tip model

64%
20%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

59%
24%
17%
Lens Draw Toulouse

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Lens Toulouse
50% Recent form 50%
62% Attack 38%
44% Defence 56%
73% Poisson 27%
71% Head-to-head 29%
69% Goals 31%
62% Overall 39%

Combo Winner : Lens and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1

Side by side

Lens Toulouse
4 Played 4
4 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
13 Goals for 8
5 Goals against 4
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Lens

Toulouse (H) 21 Nov MID
RB Leipzig (A) 24 Nov MID
Angers (A) 28 Nov MID
Le Havre (H) 05 Dec MID

Toulouse

Lens (A) 21 Nov MID
Rennes (H) 29 Nov MID
Paris Saint Germain (H) 04 Dec MID
Auxerre (A) 11 Dec MID

Lens vs Toulouse: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Lens are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Toulouse at 16%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 44%.

Combo Winner : Lens and +1.5 goals

Lens vs Toulouse FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lens vs Toulouse?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?

Model lean: Lens 64%, draw 20%, Toulouse 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 44% of the time.

When is Lens vs Toulouse?

Tuesday, 21st April 2026 at 19:10 UTC , Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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