Spain vs England

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Spain arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against England at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with our model giving this a 82% probability at odds of 1.22.

World: UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 League A - 6
Spain

Spain

W W W W W
NS
VS
England

England

L W W W W
Prediction: 1X (1.22 Odds)
Double Chance 82% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.55

Spain

1.80

1.80 – 2.75

England

2.75

Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid Clement Turpin

Spain

1.70

56% implied

Draw

4.20

23% implied

England

4.33

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.22 82%
Free Tip Free

1X

Odds 1.22 82%
Win Either Half Free

HWEH

Odds 1.38 72%

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

3

Spain wins

0

Draws

1

England wins

4

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

26 Sep 2026
England
2-3
Spain
14 Jul 2024
Spain
2-1
England
15 Oct 2018
Spain
2-3
England
08 Sep 2018
England
1-2
Spain

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Italy
5 3 1 1 11:6 5 10
2
France
5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
3
Belgium
5 3 0 2 8:6 2 9
4
Türkiye
5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
7
2
M. Olise
France
5
3
A. Guðjohnsen
Iceland
5
4
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
4
5
T. Reijnders
Netherlands
4
6
L. Walta
Finland
4
7
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
8
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
9
F. Esposito
Italy
4
10
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4

Recent form

Spain

10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Czech Republic 0-2 W
A Croatia 1-2 W
H Czech Republic 3-1 W
H Croatia 4-1 W
A England 2-3 W
A France 0-2 W
H Belgium 2-1 W
A Portugal 0-1 W
H Austria 3-0 W
A Uruguay 0-1 W

England

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Croatia 2-1 W
H Czech Republic 3-0 W
A Croatia 0-7 W
A Czech Republic 0-2 W
H Spain 2-3 L
A France 4-6 W
H Argentina 1-2 L
A Mexico 2-3 W
H Congo DR 2-1 W
A Panama 0-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.55

Spain

1.80

xG

Match

1.80 – 2.75

England

2.75

xG

Our tip model

82%
10%
8%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

56%
23%
22%
Spain Draw England

Most likely scores

1:1

12.5%

2:1

11.8%

1:0

10.5%

2:0

10.5%

3:1

7.7%

2:2

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 85%
Over 2.5 goals 63%
Over 3.5 goals 40%
Both teams to score 62%

Team comparison

Spain England
56% Recent form 44%
47% Attack 53%
44% Defence 56%
0% Poisson 100%
75% Head-to-head 25%
56% Goals 44%
56% Overall 44%

Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
5
1
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Spain England
5 Played 5
5 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
14 Goals for 16
5 Goals against 4
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Spain

England (H) 15 Nov MID

England

Spain (A) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.18
85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50
22% implied
Over 2.5 1.60
63% implied
Under 2.5 2.30
43% implied
Over 3.5 2.50
40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50
67% implied
Over 0.5 1.03
97% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 4.5 4.33
23% implied
Under 4.5 1.20
83% implied
Over 7.5 34.00
3% implied
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 9.00
11% implied
Under 5.5 1.07
93% implied
Over 6.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 6.5 1.02
98% implied
Yes 1.62
62% implied
No 2.20
45% implied
Home/Draw 1.22
82% implied
Home/Away 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Away 2.00
50% implied
1:0 9.50
11% implied
2:0 9.50
11% implied
2:1 8.50
12% implied
3:0 15.00
7% implied
3:1 13.00
8% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 26.00
4% implied
4:1 23.00
4% implied
0:0 15.00
7% implied
1:1 8.00
13% implied
2:2 13.00
8% implied
0:1 15.00
7% implied
0:2 23.00
4% implied
0:3 41.00
2% implied
1:2 13.00
8% implied
1:3 29.00
3% implied
2:3 34.00
3% implied
3:3 41.00
2% implied
0:4 101.00
1% implied
1:4 67.00
1% implied
2:4 67.00
1% implied
4:2 34.00
3% implied
0:5 301.00
1:5 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 13.00
8% implied
Home/Away 29.00
3% implied
Draw/Away 9.50
11% implied
Draw/Draw 6.50
15% implied
Home/Home 2.62
38% implied
Draw/Home 5.00
20% implied
Away/Home 19.00
5% implied
Away/Draw 15.00
7% implied
Away/Away 7.00
14% implied
Home -1.25 2.60
38% implied
Away -1.25 1.48
68% implied
Home -1 2.25
44% implied
Away -1 1.62
62% implied
Home -0.75 1.98
51% implied
Away -0.75 1.88
53% implied
Home -0.5 1.72
58% implied
Away -0.5 2.08
48% implied
Home -0.25 1.52
66% implied
Away -0.25 2.42
41% implied
Home +0 1.35
74% implied
Away +0 3.10
32% implied
Home +0.25 1.27
79% implied
Away +0.25 3.55
28% implied
Home +0.5 1.23
81% implied
Away +0.5 4.00
25% implied
Home +0.75 1.16
86% implied
Away +0.75 5.25
19% implied
Home -2 4.65
22% implied
Away -2 1.18
85% implied
Home -1.75 3.45
29% implied
Away -1.75 1.30
77% implied
Home -1.5 2.85
35% implied
Away -1.5 1.40
71% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

Spain vs England: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.22 odds).

Spain are rated 82% by our tip model, with the draw at 10% and England at 8%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 4 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals

Spain vs England FAQs

What is the best prediction for Spain vs England?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.22 odds).

Who will win Spain vs England?

Model lean: Spain 82%, draw 10%, England 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Spain vs England?

Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links