France vs Türkiye

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

France arrive in strong form (WWDWL) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Türkiye at Matmut Stadium, with our model giving this a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

World: UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 League A - 6
France

France

2nd in table

W W D W L
NS
VS
Türkiye

Türkiye

4th in table

L L L L L
Prediction: 1 (1.25 Odds)
Home Win 80% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.50

France

2.75

2.75 – 0.75

Türkiye

0.75

Matmut Atlantique, Bordeaux Chris Kavanagh

France

1.25

77% implied

Draw

7.00

14% implied

Türkiye

10.00

10% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.25 80%
Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.25 80%

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

1

France wins

1

Draws

1

Türkiye wins

1.7

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

0%

Over 2.5

25 Sep 2026
Türkiye
0-1
France
14 Oct 2019
France
1-1
Türkiye
08 Jun 2019
Türkiye
2-0
France

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Italy
5 3 1 1 11:6 5 10
2
France
5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
3
Belgium
5 3 0 2 8:6 2 9
4
Türkiye
5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
7
2
M. Olise
France
5
3
A. Guðjohnsen
Iceland
5
4
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
4
5
T. Reijnders
Netherlands
4
6
L. Walta
Finland
4
7
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
8
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
9
F. Esposito
Italy
4
10
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4

Recent form

France

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Italy 3-1 L
H Belgium 4-1 W
H Italy 1-1 D
A Belgium 0-1 W
A Türkiye 0-1 W
H England 4-6 L
H Spain 0-2 L
H Morocco 2-0 W
A Paraguay 0-1 W
H Sweden 3-0 W

Türkiye

3 W 0 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Belgium 1-2 L
A Italy 3-1 L
A Belgium 3-0 L
H Italy 1-4 L
H France 0-1 L
H USA 3-2 W
H Paraguay 0-1 L
A Australia 2-0 L
A Venezuela 1-2 W
H FYR Macedonia 4-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.50

France

2.75

xG

Match

2.75 – 0.75

Türkiye

0.75

xG

Our tip model

80%
11%
9%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

77%
14%
10%
France Draw Türkiye

Most likely scores

2:0

11.8%

3:0

11.8%

2:1

10%

3:1

10%

1:0

8.3%

4:0

8.3%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 93%
Over 2.5 goals 75%
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%

Team comparison

France Türkiye
100% Recent form 0%
73% Attack 27%
72% Defence 28%
94% Poisson 6%
50% Head-to-head 50%
40% Goals 60%
66% Overall 34%

Combo Winner : France and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
5
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2

Side by side

France Türkiye
5 Played 5
3 Won 0
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 5
8 Goals for 3
5 Goals against 13
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 2

What comes next

France

Türkiye (H) 15 Nov EASY

Türkiye

France (A) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.08
93% implied
Under 1.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 2.5 1.33
75% implied
Under 2.5 3.40
29% implied
Over 3.5 1.80
56% implied
Under 3.5 1.91
52% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 29.00
3% implied
Over 8.5 34.00
3% implied
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 2.75
36% implied
Under 4.5 1.40
71% implied
Over 7.5 19.00
5% implied
Under 7.5 1.02
98% implied
Over 5.5 5.00
20% implied
Under 5.5 1.17
85% implied
Over 6.5 10.00
10% implied
Under 6.5 1.06
94% implied
Yes 1.73
58% implied
No 2.00
50% implied
Home/Draw 1.05
95% implied
Home/Away 1.10
91% implied
Draw/Away 4.00
25% implied
1:0 12.00
8% implied
2:0 8.50
12% implied
2:1 10.00
10% implied
3:0 8.50
12% implied
3:1 10.00
10% implied
3:2 21.00
5% implied
4:0 12.00
8% implied
4:1 13.00
8% implied
0:0 29.00
3% implied
1:1 15.00
7% implied
2:2 21.00
5% implied
0:1 34.00
3% implied
0:2 51.00
2% implied
0:3 126.00
1% implied
1:2 29.00
3% implied
1:3 51.00
2% implied
2:3 51.00
2% implied
3:3 51.00
2% implied
1:4 201.00
2:4 126.00
1% implied
4:2 29.00
3% implied
3:4 151.00
1% implied
5:0 19.00
5% implied
5:1 21.00
5% implied
Home/Draw 21.00
5% implied
Home/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Away 23.00
4% implied
Draw/Draw 11.00
9% implied
Home/Home 1.62
62% implied
Draw/Home 4.00
25% implied
Away/Home 15.00
7% implied
Away/Draw 23.00
4% implied
Away/Away 21.00
5% implied
Home -1.25 1.42
70% implied
Away -1.25 2.75
36% implied
Home -1 1.30
77% implied
Away -1 3.45
29% implied
Home -0.75 1.24
81% implied
Away -0.75 3.90
26% implied
Home -0.5 1.21
83% implied
Away -0.5 4.25
24% implied
Home -0.25 1.14
88% implied
Away -0.25 5.75
17% implied
Home +0.5 1.05
95% implied
Away +0.5 11.00
9% implied
Home -3 3.45
29% implied
Away -3 1.30
77% implied
Home -2 1.95
51% implied
Away -2 1.90
53% implied
Home -1.75 1.70
59% implied
Away -1.75 2.10
48% implied
Home -1.5 1.58
63% implied
Away -1.5 2.35
43% implied
Home -4 7.00
14% implied
Away -4 1.10
91% implied
Home -2.5 2.38
42% implied
Away -2.5 1.55
65% implied
Over 9 1.78
56% implied
Under 9 2.02
50% implied
Over 9.5 2.00
50% implied
Under 9.5 1.73
58% implied

France vs Türkiye: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.25 odds).

France are rated 80% by our tip model, with the draw at 11% and Türkiye at 9%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 0%.

Combo Winner : France and +1.5 goals

France vs Türkiye FAQs

What is the best prediction for France vs Türkiye?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.25 odds).

Who will win France vs Türkiye?

Model lean: France 80%, draw 11%, Türkiye 9%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 0% of the time.

When is France vs Türkiye?

Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Matmut Stadium.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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