Finland vs San Marino

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 74% probability rating, Over 2.5 stands out as the confident call for Finland vs San Marino in the UEFA Nations League, priced at odds of 1.35.

World: UEFA Nations League
Sun, 15th Nov, 2026 League C - 6
Finland

Finland

W D W L L
NS
VS
San Marino

San Marino

L L L L L
Prediction: Over 2.5 (1.35 Odds)
Free Tip 74% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Finland

2.00

2.00 – 0.50

San Marino

0.50

Bolt Arena, Helsinki Georgi Nikolov Kabakov

Finland

1.02

95% implied

Draw

26.00

4% implied

San Marino

65.00

1% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Free

Over 2.5

Odds 1.35 74%

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

3

Finland wins

0

Draws

0

San Marino wins

5.3

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

26 Sep 2026
San Marino
0-7
Finland
20 Nov 2023
San Marino
1-2
Finland
19 Jun 2023
Finland
6-0
San Marino

UEFA Nations League table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Italy
5 3 1 1 11:6 5 10
2
France
5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
3
Belgium
5 3 0 2 8:6 2 9
4
Türkiye
5 0 0 5 3:13 -10 0

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
# Player Team Goals
1
H. Kane
England
7
2
M. Olise
France
5
3
A. Guðjohnsen
Iceland
5
4
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
4
5
T. Reijnders
Netherlands
4
6
L. Walta
Finland
4
7
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4
8
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4
9
F. Esposito
Italy
4
10
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4

Recent form

Finland

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Albania 2-0 L
A Belarus 1-0 L
H Albania 2-1 W
H Belarus 0-0 D
A San Marino 0-7 W
A Hungary 2-1 L
A Germany 4-0 L
A New Zealand 0-2 W
H Andorra 4-0 W
H Malta 0-1 L

San Marino

0 W 1 D 9 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Belarus 0-2 L
A Albania 2-1 L
A Belarus 4-0 L
H Albania 0-3 L
H Finland 0-7 L
A Azerbaijan 2-1 L
H Bangladesh 1-2 L
H Andorra 0-0 D
H Faroe Islands 1-2 L
A Romania 7-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Finland

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 0.50

San Marino

0.50

xG

Our tip model

50%
50%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

95%
4%
1%
Finland Draw San Marino

Most likely scores

3:0

16.7%

4:0

16.7%

2:0

14.3%

5:0

13.3%

6:0

9.1%

1:0

7.7%

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 94%
Over 2.5 goals 80%
Over 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 29%

Team comparison

Finland San Marino
100% Recent form 0%
90% Attack 10%
82% Defence 18%
92% Poisson 8%
100% Head-to-head 0%
94% Goals 6%
90% Overall 11%

Winner : Finland

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
4
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
3

Side by side

Finland San Marino
5 Played 5
2 Won 0
1 Drawn 0
2 Lost 5
9 Goals for 1
4 Goals against 18
2 Clean sheets 0
3 Failed to score 4

What comes next

Finland

San Marino (H) 15 Nov MID

San Marino

Finland (A) 15 Nov MID

Betting markets

Odds · implied %
Over 1.5 1.06
94% implied
Under 1.5 8.00
13% implied
Over 2.5 1.25
80% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 3.75
27% implied
Over 3.5 1.62
62% implied
Under 3.5 2.20
45% implied
Over 0.5 1.01
99% implied
Under 0.5 15.00
7% implied
Over 8.5 13.00
8% implied
Under 8.5 1.01
99% implied
Over 9.5 21.00
5% implied
Under 9.5 1.00
Over 4.5 2.38
42% implied
Under 4.5 1.53
65% implied
Over 7.5 9.00
11% implied
Under 7.5 1.04
96% implied
Over 5.5 3.75
27% implied
Under 5.5 1.25
80% implied
Over 6.5 6.50
15% implied
Under 6.5 1.10
91% implied
Yes 3.50
29% implied
No 1.28
78% implied
1:0 13.00
8% implied
2:0 7.00
14% implied
2:1 21.00
5% implied
3:0 6.00
17% implied
3:1 17.00
6% implied
3:2 51.00
2% implied
4:0 6.00
17% implied
4:1 19.00
5% implied
0:0 26.00
4% implied
1:1 29.00
3% implied
2:2 51.00
2% implied
0:1 67.00
1% implied
0:2 151.00
1% implied
1:2 81.00
1% implied
4:2 51.00
2% implied
5:0 7.50
13% implied
5:1 23.00
4% implied
5:2 67.00
1% implied
6:0 11.00
9% implied
6:1 34.00
3% implied
6:2 101.00
1% implied
7:0 19.00
5% implied
7:1 41.00
2% implied
7:2 151.00
1% implied
Home/Draw 41.00
2% implied
Home/Away 151.00
1% implied
Draw/Away 51.00
2% implied
Draw/Draw 17.00
6% implied
Home/Home 1.22
82% implied
Draw/Home 4.33
23% implied
Away/Home 29.00
3% implied
Away/Draw 51.00
2% implied
Away/Away 51.00
2% implied
Home -1.25 1.11
90% implied
Away -1.25 6.60
15% implied
Home -3 1.62
62% implied
Away -3 2.25
44% implied
Home -2 1.21
83% implied
Away -2 4.25
24% implied
Home -1.75 1.19
84% implied
Away -1.75 4.50
22% implied
Home -1.5 1.17
85% implied
Away -1.5 5.00
20% implied
Home -4 2.60
38% implied
Away -4 1.48
68% implied
Home -2.5 1.45
69% implied
Away -2.5 2.68
37% implied
Home -2.25 1.32
76% implied
Away -2.25 3.30
30% implied
Home -3.75 2.25
44% implied
Away -3.75 1.62
62% implied
Home -3.5 2.02
50% implied
Away -3.5 1.78
56% implied
Home -3.25 1.85
54% implied
Away -3.25 1.95
51% implied
Home -2.75 1.52
66% implied
Away -2.75 2.42
41% implied

Finland vs San Marino: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: Over 2.5 (1.35 odds).

Finland are rated 50% by our tip model, with the draw at 50% and San Marino at 0%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 5.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Winner : Finland

Finland vs San Marino FAQs

What is the best prediction for Finland vs San Marino?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Over 2.5 (1.35 odds).

Who will win Finland vs San Marino?

Model lean: Finland 50%, draw 50%, San Marino 0%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 5.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Finland vs San Marino?

Sunday, 15th November 2026 at 17:00 UTC , Bolt Arena.

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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