Italy vs Türkiye Prediction & Preview

Our expert prediction for Italy vs Türkiye is 1, at odds of 1.47 with a 68% probability rating.

UEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League

Mon, Oct 5, 2026 |

Italy

3
18:45
VS

Türkiye

1

Our Expert Prediction

Tip

1

Odds

1.47

Probability

68%

Match Odds

Home Win

1.46

Draw

5.05

Away Win

6.72

Expected Goals (xG)

A measure of shot quality — higher xG means more dangerous chances created

Italy
2.04
Türkiye
1.42

Match Statistics

Italy vs Türkiye

45%   Possession   55%

6   Shots on Target   5

87%   Pass Accuracy   90%

3   Corner Kicks   9

11   Fouls   9

0 2 5
0 2 0

Head to Head History

Previous encounters between Italy and Türkiye

Mon, Sep 28, 2026
18:45
Türkiye
Türkiye
1 - 4
Italy
Italy
League UEFA Nations League
Tue, Jun 4, 2024
19:00
Italy
Italy
0 - 0
Türkiye
Türkiye
League Friendlies
Tue, Mar 29, 2022
18:45
Türkiye
Türkiye
2 - 3
Italy
Italy
League Friendlies
Fri, Jun 11, 2021
19:00
Türkiye
Türkiye
0 - 3
Italy
Italy
League Euro Championship

Italy - Recent Matches

Mon, Oct 5
18:45
Italy
Italy
3 - 1
Türkiye
Türkiye
League UEFA Nations League
W
Fri, Oct 2
18:45
France
France
1 - 1
Italy
Italy
League UEFA Nations League
D
Mon, Sep 28
18:45
Türkiye
Türkiye
1 - 4
Italy
Italy
League UEFA Nations League
W
Fri, Sep 25
18:45
Italy
Italy
0 - 2
Belgium
Belgium
League UEFA Nations League
L
Sun, Jun 7
19:00
Greece
Greece
0 - 1
Italy
Italy
League Friendlies
W
Wed, Jun 3
18:45
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
0 - 1
Italy
Italy
League Friendlies
W
Thu, Mar 26
19:45
Italy
Italy
2 - 0
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
League World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Sun, Nov 16
19:45
Italy
Italy
1 - 4
Norway
Norway
League World Cup - Qualification Europe
L
Thu, Nov 13
19:45
Moldova
Moldova
0 - 2
Italy
Italy
League World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Tue, Oct 14
18:45
Italy
Italy
3 - 0
Israel
Israel
League World Cup - Qualification Europe
W

Italy Form Analysis

Italy come into this fixture in good form, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 5 during that run, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Key contributors in front of goal include F. Esposito (3 goals), A. Bastoni (2 goals) and G. Scamacca. Their most recent outing ended in a victory against Türkiye (3–1) in the UEFA Nations League. Their recent momentum makes them a threat going into this fixture.

Türkiye - Recent Matches

Mon, Oct 5
18:45
Italy
Italy
3 - 1
Türkiye
Türkiye
League UEFA Nations League
L
Fri, Oct 2
18:45
Belgium
Belgium
3 - 0
Türkiye
Türkiye
League UEFA Nations League
L
Mon, Sep 28
18:45
Türkiye
Türkiye
1 - 4
Italy
Italy
League UEFA Nations League
L
Fri, Sep 25
18:45
Türkiye
Türkiye
0 - 1
France
France
League UEFA Nations League
L
Fri, Jun 26
02:00
Türkiye
Türkiye
3 - 2
USA
USA
League World Cup
W
Sat, Jun 20
03:00
Türkiye
Türkiye
0 - 1
Paraguay
Paraguay
League World Cup
L
Sun, Jun 14
04:00
Australia
Australia
2 - 0
Türkiye
Türkiye
League World Cup
L
Sat, Jun 6
22:00
Venezuela
Venezuela
1 - 2
Türkiye
Türkiye
League Friendlies
W
Mon, Jun 1
17:30
Türkiye
Türkiye
4 - 0
FYR Macedonia
FYR Macedonia
League Friendlies
W
Tue, Mar 31
18:45
Kosovo
Kosovo
0 - 1
Türkiye
Türkiye
League World Cup - Qualification Europe
W

Türkiye Form Analysis

Türkiye arrive in poor form, with 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across their last 5 fixtures. They have netted 5 goals and let in 13, averaging 1 goals per game going forward. Key contributors in front of goal include A. Simsir, Barış Alper Yılmaz and A. Guler. Most recently, they recorded a defeat against Italy (1–3) in the UEFA Nations League. They are on a run of 4 defeats heading into this game. They will need a significant improvement to get anything from this match.

UEFA Nations League - Standings

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Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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