Fluminense vs Flamengo

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Fluminense and Flamengo enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Carioca - 1 clash.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Sun, 8th Mar, 2026 Final
Fluminense

Fluminense

W W W W D
PEN
0 - 0
Flamengo

Flamengo

L W W W W
21' Renê
44' Kevin Serna
56' Luciano Acosta
62' Samuel Lino
67' Jorginho
90+2' Agustín Canobbio
Prediction: 1X (1.67 Odds)
Double Chance 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Fluminense

1.70

1.70 – 1.60

Flamengo

1.60

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro B. Arleu

Fluminense

3.40

27% implied

Draw

2.80

33% implied

Flamengo

2.30

40% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.67 60%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Fluminense vs Flamengo

45%   Possession   55%

1   Shots on Target   2

81%   Pass Accuracy   86%

5   Corner Kicks   2

16   Fouls   17

0 4 0
3 2 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

3

Fluminense wins

2

Draws

2

Flamengo wins

1.7

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

43%

Over 2.5

25 Jan 2026
Fluminense
2-1
Flamengo
20 Nov 2025
Fluminense
2-1
Flamengo
20 Jul 2025
Flamengo
1-0
Fluminense
16 Mar 2025
Flamengo
0-0
Fluminense
13 Mar 2025
Fluminense
1-2
Flamengo
08 Feb 2025
Fluminense
0-0
Flamengo
17 Oct 2024
Flamengo
0-2
Fluminense

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Fluminense

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitoria 0-3 W
H Internacional 2-1 W
A Chapecoense-sc 2-1 L
H Santos 1-2 L
H Palmeiras 1-2 L
A Flamengo 1-0 L
H Coritiba 4-0 W
A Corinthians 1-3 W
A Platense 2-1 L
A Atletico-MG 3-1 L

Flamengo

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 3-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-4 W
H Atletico-MG 3-2 W
A Bahia 0-3 W
A Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
H Fluminense 1-0 W
A Santos 2-2 D
H RB Bragantino 2-1 W
H Independiente del Valle 1-1 D
H Corinthians 2-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Fluminense

1.70

xG

Match

1.70 – 1.60

Flamengo

1.60

xG

Our tip model

60%
22%
18%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

27%
33%
40%
Fluminense Draw Flamengo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Fluminense Flamengo
52% Recent form 48%
25% Attack 75%
67% Defence 33%
57% Poisson 43%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
50% Overall 50%

Double chance : Fluminense or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
4
4
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
6
3
76-90'
6
0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Fluminense Flamengo
9 Played 9
7 Won 5
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 3
14 Goals for 24
7 Goals against 10
3 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Fluminense

Sao Paulo (A) 20 Nov MID
Mirassol (H) 22 Nov MID
Cruzeiro (H) 27 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 03 Dec MID

Flamengo

Atletico Paranaense (H) 18 Nov MID
Palmeiras (A) 21 Nov MID
Coritiba (A) 29 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (H) 03 Dec MID

Fluminense vs Flamengo: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Fluminense are rated 60% by our tip model, with the draw at 22% and Flamengo at 18%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 43%.

Double chance : Fluminense or draw

Fluminense vs Flamengo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fluminense vs Flamengo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.67 odds).

Who will win Fluminense vs Flamengo?

Model lean: Fluminense 60%, draw 22%, Flamengo 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 43% of the time.

When is Fluminense vs Flamengo?

Sunday, 8th March 2026 at 21:00 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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