Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Cruzeiro arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Atletico-MG, with our model giving this a 75% probability at odds of 1.33.

Brazil: Mineiro - 1
Sun, 8th Mar, 2026 Final
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

W W W W W
FT
1 - 0
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

1st in table

W D W D W
9' Kaiki
26' Matheus Pereira
33' Vitor Hugo
58' Ruan Tressoldi
60' Kaio Jorge
71' Natanael
76' L. Villalba
83' Kaio Jorge
90+4' R. Lodi
90+6' William Furtado
Prediction: 1X (1.33 Odds)
Double Chance 75% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Cruzeiro

1.40

1.40 – 1.60

Atletico-MG

1.60

M. Delgado

Cruzeiro

2.30

39% implied

Draw

3.00

30% implied

Atletico-MG

3.00

30% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.33 75%

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5 games

2

Cruzeiro wins

2

Draws

1

Atletico-MG wins

1.8

Goals / game

40%

Both scored

20%

Over 2.5

25 Jan 2026
Atletico-MG
2-1
Cruzeiro
16 Oct 2025
Atletico-MG
1-1
Cruzeiro
11 Sep 2025
Cruzeiro
2-0
Atletico-MG
27 Aug 2025
Atletico-MG
0-2
Cruzeiro
18 May 2025
Cruzeiro
0-0
Atletico-MG

Mineiro - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Atletico-MG
8 3 5 0 16:8 8 14
2
Uniao Trabalhadores
8 3 2 3 7:7 0 11
3
Uberlandia
8 2 3 3 8:12 -4 9
4
Democrata GV
8 2 1 5 3:8 -5 7

Top scorers

Mineiro - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Ronaldo Tavares
Athletic Club
4
2
Hulk
Atletico-MG
4
3
Gustavo Ermel
North Esporte
3
4
Bruno Lopes
North Esporte
2
5
Val Soares
America Mineiro
2
6
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
1
7
Xandão
Pouso Alegre
1
8
Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
1
9
Yarlen
America Mineiro
1
10
Sérgio Antônio Borges Júnior
Itabirito
1

Recent form

Cruzeiro

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Bahia 3-2 W
A Atletico-MG 0-1 W
H Remo 1-0 W
A Gremio 2-4 W
A RB Bragantino 4-2 L
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W
A Vitoria 1-3 W
A Santos 2-1 L
H Atletico Paranaense 3-1 W
A Atletico-MG 2-1 L

Atletico-MG

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 1-1 D
A Botafogo 1-0 L
A Gremio 2-0 L
H Cruzeiro 0-1 L
A Flamengo 3-2 L
A Atletico Torque 2-0 L
H Coritiba 1-0 W
H Atletico Torque 3-0 W
H Santos 2-1 W
A Atletico Paranaense 2-2 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.00

Cruzeiro

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 1.60

Atletico-MG

1.60

xG

Our tip model

75%
14%
11%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

39%
30%
30%
Cruzeiro Draw Atletico-MG

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Cruzeiro Atletico-MG
58% Recent form 42%
38% Attack 62%
71% Defence 29%
56% Poisson 44%
62% Head-to-head 38%
67% Goals 33%
59% Overall 41%

Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
3

Side by side

Cruzeiro Atletico-MG
10 Played 10
7 Won 4
0 Drawn 6
3 Lost 0
17 Goals for 18
8 Goals against 9
4 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Cruzeiro

Palmeiras (H) 18 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (A) 22 Nov MID
Fluminense (A) 27 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 03 Dec MID

Atletico-MG

Mirassol (A) 14 Nov MID
Boca Juniors (H) 21 Nov MID
Corinthians (H) 25 Nov MID
Vasco DA Gama (H) 29 Nov MID

Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.33 odds).

Cruzeiro are rated 75% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Atletico-MG at 11%.

In the last 5 meetings they averaged 1.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 40% and over 2.5 in 20%.

Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.33 odds).

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?

Model lean: Cruzeiro 75%, draw 14%, Atletico-MG 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 40% of the last 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 20% of the time.

When is Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG?

Sunday, 8th March 2026 at 21:00 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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