Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Palmeiras and Sao Paulo enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.73 (58% probability) to edge the Paulista - A1 clash.
Brazil: Paulista - A1
Palmeiras
2nd in table
Sao Paulo
6th in table
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 2.70
Palmeiras
1.90
1.90 – 0.80
Sao Paulo
0.80
Palmeiras
1.7355% implied
Draw
3.6026% implied
Sao Paulo
5.0019% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
+1.5
1
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
40% Possession 60%
4 Shots on Target 1
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
3 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 15
5
Palmeiras wins
2
Draws
0
Sao Paulo wins
2
Goals / game
43%
Both scored
43%
Over 2.5
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Novorizontino
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 |
Portuguesa
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |
Sao Paulo
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |
Capivariano
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 |
Guarani Campinas
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Botafogo SP
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |
Primavera SP
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |
São Bernardo
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |
Noroeste
|
8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |
Velo Clube
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 |
Ponte Preta
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 1 |
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Robson
|
Novorizontino
|
7 |
| 2 |
J. López
|
Palmeiras
|
6 |
| 3 |
Romulo
|
Novorizontino
|
5 |
| 4 |
J. Calleri
|
Sao Paulo
|
5 |
| 5 |
Gabriel Barbosa
|
Santos
|
4 |
| 6 |
Gabriel Poveda
|
Primavera SP
|
4 |
| 7 |
Carlão
|
Noroeste
|
4 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
Portuguesa
|
3 |
| 9 |
Jhon Jhon
|
RB Bragantino
|
3 |
| 10 |
Rene
|
Portuguesa
|
3 |
Palmeiras
1.90
xG
Match
1.90 – 0.80
Sao Paulo
0.80
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Double chance : Palmeiras or draw
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
(A)
18 Nov
MID
Flamengo
(H)
21 Nov
MID
Chapecoense-sc
(A)
24 Nov
MID
Estudiantes L.P.
(H)
28 Nov
MID
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
(H)
20 Nov
MID
Botafogo
(A)
23 Nov
MID
Remo
(H)
26 Nov
MID
Atletico Paranaense
(A)
03 Dec
MID
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.73 odds).
Palmeiras are rated 58% by our tip model, with the draw at 23% and Sao Paulo at 19%.
In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 43%.
Double chance : Palmeiras or draw
Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.73 odds).
Model lean: Palmeiras 58%, draw 23%, Sao Paulo 19%.
Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 43% of the time.
Sunday, 1st March 2026 at 23:30 UTC .
Palmeiras and Sao Paulo enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.73 (58% probability) to edge the Paulista - A1 clash.
Teams: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
Date: Sun, Mar 1, 2026
Time: 23:30 UTC
Venue: Arena Barueri, Barueri
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Networks:
Trusted football Prediction WebsiteWritten by
Joshua J
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict