Dunfermline vs Aberdeen

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Dunfermline arrive in strong form (WWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Aberdeen at East End Park, with our model giving this a 83% probability at odds of 1.20.

Scotland: FA Cup
Sat, 7th Mar, 2026 Quarter-finals
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

W W W
FT
3 - 0
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

W W
14' M. Todd
22' O. Thomas
61' O. Thomas
70' Charlie Gilmour
89' Graeme Shinnie
Prediction: X2 (1.20 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 83% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.05

Dunfermline

0.90

0.90 – 0.15

Aberdeen

0.15

East End Park, Dunfermline Ryan Lee, Scotland

Dunfermline

4.33

21% implied

Draw

3.75

25% implied

Aberdeen

1.70

54% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 1.20 83%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Dunfermline vs Aberdeen

48%   Possession   52%

5   Shots on Target   3

0   Pass Accuracy   0

7   Corner Kicks   6

8   Fouls   16

0 1 3
1 1 0

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5 games

1

Dunfermline wins

1

Draws

3

Aberdeen wins

3.4

Goals / game

20%

Both scored

80%

Over 2.5

09 Feb 2025
Aberdeen
3-0
Dunfermline
28 Apr 2012
Dunfermline
3-0
Aberdeen
28 Jan 2012
Aberdeen
1-0
Dunfermline
26 Nov 2011
Dunfermline
3-3
Aberdeen
30 Sep 2011
Aberdeen
4-0
Dunfermline

Recent form

Dunfermline

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Raith Rovers 0-0 D
A Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-4 W
H Inverness CT 5-1 W
A Stenhousemuir 0-1 W
A Queen's Park 0-1 W
H Partick 1-1 D
H Livingston 0-0 D
A Ayr Utd 1-1 D
H Aberdeen 1-4 L
A Morton 0-1 W

Aberdeen

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Hibernian 0-4 L
A Rangers 1-0 L
H Falkirk 0-1 L
A Dundee Utd 3-2 L
H ST Mirren 3-1 W
H ST Johnstone 0-1 L
A Dunfermline 1-4 W
A Hibernian 1-1 D
A Motherwell 0-4 W
H Kilmarnock 0-0 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.05

Dunfermline

0.90

xG

Match

0.90 – 0.15

Aberdeen

0.15

xG

Our tip model

8%
9%
83%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

21%
25%
54%
Dunfermline Draw Aberdeen

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Dunfermline Aberdeen
60% Recent form 40%
63% Attack 38%
0% Defence 100%
29% Head-to-head 71%
35% Goals 65%
47% Overall 54%

Combo Double chance : draw or Aberdeen and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Dunfermline Aberdeen
3 Played 2
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
5 Goals for 3
1 Goals against 0
2 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Dunfermline

Morton (H) 21 Nov MID
Kelty Hearts (H) 24 Nov MID
Queen of the South (A) 28 Nov MID
Arbroath (H) 01 Dec MID

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock (A) 21 Nov MID
Rangers (A) 24 Nov MID
Dundee (H) 28 Nov MID
Heart Of Midlothian (A) 02 Dec MID

Dunfermline vs Aberdeen: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.20 odds).

Dunfermline are rated 8% by our tip model, with the draw at 9% and Aberdeen at 83%.

In the last 5 meetings they averaged 3.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 20% and over 2.5 in 80%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Aberdeen and -3.5 goals

Dunfermline vs Aberdeen FAQs

What is the best prediction for Dunfermline vs Aberdeen?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.20 odds).

Who will win Dunfermline vs Aberdeen?

Model lean: Dunfermline 8%, draw 9%, Aberdeen 83%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 20% of the last 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 80% of the time.

When is Dunfermline vs Aberdeen?

Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 19:30 UTC , East End Park.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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