Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 77% probability rating, X2 stands out as the confident call for Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions in the Queensland NPL, priced at odds of 1.30.

Australia: Queensland NPL
Fri, 14th Aug, 2026 Regular Season - 22
Moreton City Excelsior

Moreton City Excelsior

3rd in table

L W D L W
FT
0 - 2
Lions

Lions

1st in table

L W W W W
32' Red Card
78' Normal Goal
82' Normal Goal
Prediction: X2 (1.30 Odds) Won
Double Chance 77% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.55

Moreton City Excelsior

2.25

2.25 – 2.30

Lions

2.30

Wolter Park, Brisbane

Moreton City Excelsior

3.00

30% implied

Draw

3.90

23% implied

Lions

1.95

47% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.30 77%
VIP · BTTS/GG

••••

Odds ••• 76% conf.
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Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

2

Moreton City Excelsior wins

1

Draws

4

Lions wins

2.7

Goals / game

57%

Both scored

57%

Over 2.5

09 May 2026
Lions
2-0
Moreton City Excelsior
13 Sep 2025
Moreton City Excelsior
1-2
Lions
13 Jul 2025
Lions
0-0
Moreton City Excelsior
05 Apr 2025
Moreton City Excelsior
3-1
Lions
07 Sep 2024
Moreton City Excelsior
0-1
Lions
13 Jul 2024
Lions
1-2
Moreton City Excelsior
14 Apr 2024
Moreton City Excelsior
2-4
Lions

Queensland NPL table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Lions
22 17 2 3 57:22 35 53
2
Peninsula Power
22 13 6 3 49:27 22 45
3
Moreton City Excelsior
22 12 3 7 51:35 16 39
4
Gold Coast Knights
22 11 5 6 46:32 14 38
5
Brisbane City
22 9 7 6 47:48 -1 34
6
WDSC Wolves
22 9 6 7 36:40 -4 33
7
Eastern Suburbs
22 9 2 11 34:35 -1 29
8
Olympic
22 8 2 12 39:43 -4 26
9
Magic United
22 7 1 14 33:59 -26 22
10
Rochedale Rovers
22 6 3 13 34:52 -18 21
11
Gold Coast United
22 6 2 14 26:39 -13 20
12
Brisbane Roar II
22 5 1 16 32:52 -20 16

Recent form

Moreton City Excelsior

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Peninsula Power 3-2 L
H Lions 0-2 L
A Olympic 1-2 W
A Brisbane Roar II 2-0 L
H Peninsula Power 2-2 D
H Magic United 4-3 W
A Gold Coast Knights 2-1 L
A Gold Coast United 0-1 W
H WDSC Wolves 2-2 D
A Rochedale Rovers 2-5 W

Lions

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A South Hobart 2-4 W
A Wollongong Wolves 1-3 W
H Preston Lions 2-1 W
H South Hobart 1-2 L
A South Melbourne 3-1 L
H Peninsula Power 1-0 W
H Peninsula Power 4-1 W
H North Sunshine Eagles 4-0 W
A Moreton City Excelsior 0-2 W
H Melbourne City 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.55

Moreton City Excelsior

2.25

xG

Match

2.25 – 2.30

Lions

2.30

xG

Our tip model

10%
13%
77%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

30%
23%
47%
Moreton City Excelsior Draw Lions

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Moreton City Excelsior Lions
37% Recent form 63%
53% Attack 47%
29% Defence 71%
44% Poisson 56%
29% Head-to-head 71%
40% Goals 60%
39% Overall 61%

Double chance : draw or Lions

Season numbers

When the goals come

9
0-15'
10
6
16-30'
10
6
31-45'
6
8
46-60'
7
7
61-75'
10
12
76-90'
8
4
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
4
8
46-60'
1
8
61-75'
6
6
76-90'
4

Side by side

Moreton City Excelsior Lions
21 Played 21
12 Won 16
3 Drawn 2
6 Lost 3
51 Goals for 55
33 Goals against 22
5 Clean sheets 9
4 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Lions

Preston Lions (A) 13 Nov MID
Wollongong Wolves (H) 19 Nov MID

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.30 odds).

Moreton City Excelsior are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 13% and Lions at 77%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 57% and over 2.5 in 57%.

Double chance : draw or Lions

Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions FAQs

What is the best prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.30 odds).

Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

Model lean: Moreton City Excelsior 10%, draw 13%, Lions 77%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 57% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 57% of the time.

When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Lions?

Friday, 14th August 2026 at 09:30 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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