Novorizontino vs Santos

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Novorizontino arrive in strong form (WWDWL) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Santos at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

Brazil: Paulista - A1
Sun, 22nd Feb, 2026 Quarter-finals
Novorizontino

Novorizontino

1st in table

W W D W L
FT
2 - 1
Santos

Santos

8th in table

D D L W W
45' Romulo
65' Gabriel Bontempo
88' Juninho
90+1' Luan Peres
90' Leo Naldi
Prediction: 1X (1.50 Odds)
Double Chance 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.45

Novorizontino

1.90

1.90 – 0.55

Santos

0.55

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte F. Rodrigues

Novorizontino

2.70

34% implied

Draw

3.10

30% implied

Santos

2.50

37% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.36 74%
Double Chance Free

1X

Odds 1.50 67%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Novorizontino vs Santos

33%   Possession   67%

6   Shots on Target   4

69%   Pass Accuracy   84%

10   Corner Kicks   4

14   Fouls   5

0 1 1
3 1 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

4

Novorizontino wins

3

Draws

1

Santos wins

2.8

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

63%

Over 2.5

10 Jan 2026
Santos
2-1
Novorizontino
09 Feb 2025
Novorizontino
0-0
Santos
24 Sep 2024
Santos
1-1
Novorizontino
08 Jun 2024
Novorizontino
3-1
Santos
18 Feb 2024
Santos
1-2
Novorizontino
27 Feb 2022
Santos
2-2
Novorizontino
24 Apr 2021
Novorizontino
1-0
Santos
26 Jul 2020
Novorizontino
3-2
Santos

Paulista - A1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Novorizontino
8 5 1 2 16:10 6 16
2
Palmeiras
8 5 1 2 8:7 1 16
3
RB Bragantino
8 4 4 0 14:2 12 16
4
Portuguesa
8 5 0 3 11:7 4 15
5
Corinthians
8 4 2 2 10:6 4 14
6
Sao Paulo
8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
7
Capivariano
8 4 1 3 7:10 -3 13
8
Santos
8 3 3 2 12:7 5 12
9
Guarani Campinas
8 3 3 2 6:7 -1 12
10
Botafogo SP
8 3 2 3 5:9 -4 11
11
Mirassol
8 2 2 4 10:8 2 8
12
Primavera SP
8 2 2 4 14:15 -1 8
13
São Bernardo
8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
14
Noroeste
8 1 5 2 11:11 0 8
15
Velo Clube
8 1 2 5 2:13 -11 5
16
Ponte Preta
8 0 1 7 3:14 -11 1

Top scorers

Paulista - A1
# Player Team Goals
1
Robson
Novorizontino
7
2
J. López
Palmeiras
6
3
Romulo
Novorizontino
5
4
J. Calleri
Sao Paulo
5
5
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
4
6
Gabriel Poveda
Primavera SP
4
7
Carlão
Noroeste
4
8
Everton
Portuguesa
3
9
Jhon Jhon
RB Bragantino
3
10
Rene
Portuguesa
3

Recent form

Novorizontino

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Fortaleza EC 2-1 W
H Operario-PR 2-1 W
A Atletico Goianiense 0-1 W
A Vila Nova 2-2 D
H Ponte Preta 5-1 W
A Nautico Recife 0-2 W
H Goias 3-0 W
H São Bernardo 0-0 D
A Ceara 2-1 L
H Cuiaba 1-1 D

Santos

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A RB Bragantino 2-1 L
H Palmeiras 0-0 D
H Bahia 1-1 D
A Fluminense 1-2 W
A Atletico-MG 2-1 L
H Flamengo 2-2 D
A Sao Paulo 1-2 W
A Remo 1-2 W
H Cruzeiro 2-1 W
H Atletico-MG 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.45

Novorizontino

1.90

xG

Match

1.90 – 0.55

Santos

0.55

xG

Our tip model

67%
18%
15%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

34%
30%
37%
Novorizontino Draw Santos

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Novorizontino Santos
56% Recent form 44%
50% Attack 50%
44% Defence 56%
90% Poisson 10%
62% Head-to-head 38%
58% Goals 42%
60% Overall 40%

Double chance : Novorizontino or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
1

Side by side

Novorizontino Santos
8 Played 8
5 Won 3
1 Drawn 3
2 Lost 2
16 Goals for 12
10 Goals against 7
3 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Novorizontino

Criciuma (A) 14 Nov MID

Santos

Coritiba (A) 18 Nov MID
Gremio (H) 24 Nov MID
Vitoria (A) 29 Nov MID
Botafogo (H) 03 Dec MID

Novorizontino vs Santos: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.50 odds).

Novorizontino are rated 67% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Santos at 15%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 63%.

Double chance : Novorizontino or draw

Novorizontino vs Santos FAQs

What is the best prediction for Novorizontino vs Santos?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.50 odds).

Who will win Novorizontino vs Santos?

Model lean: Novorizontino 67%, draw 18%, Santos 15%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 63% of the time.

When is Novorizontino vs Santos?

Sunday, 22nd February 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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