Flamengo vs Madureira

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Flamengo and Madureira enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on -3.5 at odds of 1.67 (60% probability) to edge the Carioca - 1 clash.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Sun, 22nd Feb, 2026 Semi-finals
Flamengo

Flamengo

L W L W W
FT
3 - 0
Madureira

Madureira

W L D D W
9' Cauã Coutinho
16' Jacó
21' Gonzalo Plata
53' N. de la Cruz
65' G. de Arrascaeta
88' Luiz Araujo
Prediction: -3.5 (1.67 Odds)
3 5 Goals 60% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.85

Flamengo

2.00

2.00 – 0.85

Madureira

0.85

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro L. Coelho

Flamengo

1.12

82% implied

Draw

7.00

13% implied

Madureira

19.00

5% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.67 60%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Flamengo vs Madureira

67%   Possession   33%

2   Shots on Target   0

88%   Pass Accuracy   77%

1   Corner Kicks   0

7   Fouls   4

0 1 0
2 2 0

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

4

Flamengo wins

2

Draws

0

Madureira wins

2.7

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

16 Jan 2025
Madureira
1-1
Flamengo
02 Mar 2024
Flamengo
3-0
Madureira
17 Jan 2023
Madureira
0-0
Flamengo
16 Feb 2022
Madureira
1-2
Flamengo
06 Apr 2021
Madureira
1-5
Flamengo
08 Feb 2020
Flamengo
2-0
Madureira

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Flamengo

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 3-1 W
A Vasco DA Gama 1-4 W
H Atletico-MG 3-2 W
A Bahia 0-3 W
A Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
H Fluminense 1-0 W
A Santos 2-2 D
H RB Bragantino 2-1 W
H Independiente del Valle 1-1 D
H Corinthians 2-1 W

Madureira

2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0-2 L
A Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1-1 D
H Boavista SC 0-0 D
A Boavista SC 2-0 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-1 D
A Portuguesa RJ 0-1 W
A Bonsucesso 2-2 D
H Pouso Alegre 1-0 W
A Água Santa 4-1 L
H Portuguesa RJ 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.85

Flamengo

2.00

xG

Match

2.00 – 0.85

Madureira

0.85

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

82%
13%
5%
Flamengo Draw Madureira

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Flamengo Madureira
53% Recent form 47%
69% Attack 31%
42% Defence 58%
80% Poisson 20%
85% Head-to-head 15%
79% Goals 21%
68% Overall 32%

Winner : Flamengo

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
4
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2

Side by side

Flamengo Madureira
7 Played 7
3 Won 3
1 Drawn 2
3 Lost 2
13 Goals for 7
10 Goals against 7
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Flamengo

Atletico Paranaense (H) 18 Nov MID
Palmeiras (A) 21 Nov MID
Coritiba (A) 29 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (H) 03 Dec MID

Flamengo vs Madureira: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.67 odds).

Flamengo are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Madureira at 10%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Winner : Flamengo

Flamengo vs Madureira FAQs

What is the best prediction for Flamengo vs Madureira?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.67 odds).

Who will win Flamengo vs Madureira?

Model lean: Flamengo 45%, draw 45%, Madureira 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Flamengo vs Madureira?

Sunday, 22nd February 2026 at 23:30 UTC , Estadio Conselheiro Galvao.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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