Cruzeiro vs Pouso Alegre

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Cruzeiro arrive in strong form (LWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1 against Pouso Alegre, with our model giving this a 85% probability at odds of 1.18.

Brazil: Mineiro - 1
Sat, 28th Feb, 2026 Championship - Semi-finals
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

L W W W W
FT
1 - 0
Pouso Alegre

Pouso Alegre

L L W W L
29' K. Arroyo
89' A. Anderson
90' M. Nunes Oliveira
90' Kaio Jorge
Prediction: 1 (1.18 Odds)
Home Win 85% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.90

Cruzeiro

1.75

1.75 – 1.15

Pouso Alegre

1.15

D. Filho

Cruzeiro

1.18

77% implied

Draw

5.50

16% implied

Pouso Alegre

13.00

7% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.18 85%
3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.50 67%

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

3

Cruzeiro wins

0

Draws

3

Pouso Alegre wins

2.7

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

21 Feb 2026
Pouso Alegre
1-2
Cruzeiro
10 Jan 2026
Cruzeiro
1-2
Pouso Alegre
25 Feb 2024
Pouso Alegre
0-2
Cruzeiro
08 Feb 2023
Cruzeiro
0-1
Pouso Alegre
13 Mar 2022
Cruzeiro
5-1
Pouso Alegre
18 Apr 2021
Pouso Alegre
1-0
Cruzeiro

Mineiro - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Atletico-MG
8 3 5 0 16:8 8 14
2
Uniao Trabalhadores
8 3 2 3 7:7 0 11
3
Uberlandia
8 2 3 3 8:12 -4 9
4
Democrata GV
8 2 1 5 3:8 -5 7

Top scorers

Mineiro - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Ronaldo Tavares
Athletic Club
4
2
Hulk
Atletico-MG
4
3
Gustavo Ermel
North Esporte
3
4
Bruno Lopes
North Esporte
2
5
Val Soares
America Mineiro
2
6
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
1
7
Xandão
Pouso Alegre
1
8
Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
1
9
Yarlen
America Mineiro
1
10
Sérgio Antônio Borges Júnior
Itabirito
1

Recent form

Cruzeiro

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Bahia 3-2 W
A Atletico-MG 0-1 W
H Remo 1-0 W
A Gremio 2-4 W
A RB Bragantino 4-2 L
H Sao Paulo 2-0 W
A Vitoria 1-3 W
A Santos 2-1 L
H Atletico Paranaense 3-1 W
A Atletico-MG 2-1 L

Pouso Alegre

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Madureira 1-0 L
H Portuguesa 1-2 L
A Água Santa 2-0 L
H Portuguesa RJ 0-2 L
H América RJ 3-0 W
A América RJ 0-0 D
A Portuguesa RJ 2-0 L
H Água Santa 0-2 L
A Portuguesa 3-0 L
H Madureira 2-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.90

Cruzeiro

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.15

Pouso Alegre

1.15

xG

Our tip model

85%
8%
7%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

77%
16%
7%
Cruzeiro Draw Pouso Alegre

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Cruzeiro Pouso Alegre
67% Recent form 33%
53% Attack 47%
71% Defence 29%
76% Poisson 24%
60% Head-to-head 40%
67% Goals 33%
66% Overall 34%

Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

3
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
0
3
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
4
0
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
5
2
76-90'
3

Side by side

Cruzeiro Pouso Alegre
9 Played 9
6 Won 4
0 Drawn 1
3 Lost 4
16 Goals for 15
8 Goals against 16
3 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Cruzeiro

Palmeiras (H) 18 Nov MID
Chapecoense-sc (A) 22 Nov MID
Fluminense (A) 27 Nov MID
Internacional (H) 03 Dec MID

Cruzeiro vs Pouso Alegre: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.18 odds).

Cruzeiro are rated 85% by our tip model, with the draw at 8% and Pouso Alegre at 7%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 2.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

Cruzeiro vs Pouso Alegre FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cruzeiro vs Pouso Alegre?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.18 odds).

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Pouso Alegre?

Model lean: Cruzeiro 85%, draw 8%, Pouso Alegre 7%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Cruzeiro vs Pouso Alegre?

Saturday, 28th February 2026 at 21:30 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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