Atletico-MG vs America Mineiro

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Atletico-MG and America Mineiro enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on yes at odds of 2.25 (44% probability) to edge the Mineiro - 1 clash.

Brazil: Mineiro - 1
Sun, 22nd Feb, 2026 Championship - Semi-finals
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

1st in table

D W W D W
FT
1 - 1
America Mineiro

America Mineiro

D D W L W
17' Ruan Tressoldi
29' Nathan Pelae
46' Ricardo Silva
51' Dudu
58' Paulo Victor
90+6' Gustavo
90' Yarlen
Prediction: yes (2.25 Odds)
BTTS/GG 44% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Atletico-MG

1.00

1.00 – 0.80

America Mineiro

0.80

MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte M. Delgado

Atletico-MG

1.60

57% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

America Mineiro

6.00

15% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.44 69%
Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.60 63%
BTTS/GG Free

yes

Odds 2.25 44%

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

2

Atletico-MG wins

4

Draws

2

America Mineiro wins

2.3

Goals / game

63%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

22 Jan 2026
America Mineiro
1-1
Atletico-MG
15 Mar 2025
America Mineiro
1-0
Atletico-MG
08 Mar 2025
Atletico-MG
4-0
America Mineiro
30 Jan 2025
Atletico-MG
1-1
America Mineiro
17 Mar 2024
America Mineiro
2-1
Atletico-MG
09 Mar 2024
Atletico-MG
2-0
America Mineiro
24 Feb 2024
America Mineiro
1-1
Atletico-MG
04 Nov 2023
America Mineiro
1-1
Atletico-MG

Mineiro - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Atletico-MG
8 3 5 0 16:8 8 14
2
Uniao Trabalhadores
8 3 2 3 7:7 0 11
3
Uberlandia
8 2 3 3 8:12 -4 9
4
Democrata GV
8 2 1 5 3:8 -5 7

Top scorers

Mineiro - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Ronaldo Tavares
Athletic Club
4
2
Hulk
Atletico-MG
4
3
Gustavo Ermel
North Esporte
3
4
Bruno Lopes
North Esporte
2
5
Val Soares
America Mineiro
2
6
Matheus Pereira
Cruzeiro
1
7
Xandão
Pouso Alegre
1
8
Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
1
9
Yarlen
America Mineiro
1
10
Sérgio Antônio Borges Júnior
Itabirito
1

Recent form

Atletico-MG

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Gremio 1-1 D
A Botafogo 1-0 L
A Gremio 2-0 L
H Cruzeiro 0-1 L
A Flamengo 3-2 L
A Atletico Torque 2-0 L
H Coritiba 1-0 W
H Atletico Torque 3-0 W
H Santos 2-1 W
A Atletico Paranaense 2-2 D

America Mineiro

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Ceara 0-1 W
A Londrina 1-3 W
H Cuiaba 1-0 W
H Operario-PR 1-0 W
A Criciuma 1-0 L
H Fortaleza EC 0-1 L
A Atletico Goianiense 2-0 L
H Juventude 0-1 L
A Vila Nova 1-0 L
H São Bernardo 0-2 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.80

Atletico-MG

1.00

xG

Match

1.00 – 0.80

America Mineiro

0.80

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

57%
28%
15%
Atletico-MG Draw America Mineiro

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Atletico-MG America Mineiro
58% Recent form 42%
74% Attack 26%
45% Defence 55%
68% Poisson 32%
38% Head-to-head 62%
58% Goals 42%
57% Overall 43%

Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2

Side by side

Atletico-MG America Mineiro
8 Played 8
3 Won 4
5 Drawn 3
0 Lost 1
16 Goals for 10
8 Goals against 6
1 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Atletico-MG

Mirassol (A) 14 Nov MID
Boca Juniors (H) 21 Nov MID
Corinthians (H) 25 Nov MID
Vasco DA Gama (H) 29 Nov MID

America Mineiro

Avai (H) 14 Nov MID

Atletico-MG vs America Mineiro: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.25 odds).

Atletico-MG are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and America Mineiro at 10%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 63% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw

Atletico-MG vs America Mineiro FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atletico-MG vs America Mineiro?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: yes (2.25 odds).

Who will win Atletico-MG vs America Mineiro?

Model lean: Atletico-MG 45%, draw 45%, America Mineiro 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 63% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Atletico-MG vs America Mineiro?

Sunday, 22nd February 2026 at 21:00 UTC , MRV Arena.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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