Atalanta vs Lazio

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Atalanta and Lazio enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.73 (58% probability) to edge the Coppa Italia clash.

Italy: Coppa Italia
Wed, 22nd Apr, 2026 Semi-finals
Atalanta

Atalanta

W W D
PEN
1 - 1
Lazio

Lazio

W W D
31' Sead Kolasinac
37' Matteo Cancellieri
84' A. Romagnoli
86' M. Pasalic
117' Gianluca Scamacca
120' Manuel Lazzari
Prediction: 1 (1.73 Odds) Lost
Home Win 58% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Atalanta

2.25

2.25 – 1.05

Lazio

1.05

New Balance Arena, Bergamo A. Colombo

Atalanta

1.73

54% implied

Draw

3.75

25% implied

Lazio

4.50

21% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.73 58%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Atalanta vs Lazio

66%   Possession   34%

6   Shots on Target   1

91%   Pass Accuracy   79%

7   Corner Kicks   6

18   Fouls   10

0 2 2
0 2 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

3

Atalanta wins

3

Draws

3

Lazio wins

2.4

Goals / game

44%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

04 Mar 2026
Lazio
2-2
Atalanta
14 Feb 2026
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
19 Oct 2025
Atalanta
0-0
Lazio
06 Apr 2025
Atalanta
0-1
Lazio
28 Dec 2024
Lazio
1-1
Atalanta
04 Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-1
Lazio
08 Oct 2023
Lazio
3-2
Atalanta
11 Feb 2023
Lazio
0-2
Atalanta
23 Oct 2022
Atalanta
0-2
Lazio

Top scorers

Coppa Italia
# Player Team Goals
1
J. Pohjanpalo
Palermo
3
2
A. Adams
Venezia
2
3
G. Kvernadze
Frosinone
2
4
F. Ruocco
Mantova
2
5
G. Ambrosino
Modena
2
6
S. Lontani
Parma
2
7
Gustavo Varela
Monza
2
8
V. Bayo
Udinese
2
9
D. Johnsen
Palermo
1
10
T. Berti
Cremonese
1

Recent form

Atalanta

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Monza 0-1 W
H Kairat Almaty 1-1 D
H Parma 0-3 L
A Fiorentina 2-2 D
H Frosinone 4-4 D
A Ajax 2-0 L
A AC Milan 3-2 L
H Pafos 3-1 W
H Venezia 3-1 W
A Juventus 2-0 L

Lazio

7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Napoli 1-1 D
H Cagliari 2-1 W
A Sassuolo 2-6 W
H Parma 2-1 W
A Juventus 0-3 W
H Monza 3-1 W
H Juve Stabia 3-3 D
H Arezzo 2-0 W
A Venezia 0-2 W
H AC Milan 2-2 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Atalanta

2.25

xG

Match

2.25 – 1.05

Lazio

1.05

xG

Our tip model

58%
23%
19%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

54%
25%
21%
Atalanta Draw Lazio

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Atalanta Lazio
50% Recent form 50%
64% Attack 36%
60% Defence 40%
100% Poisson 0%
50% Head-to-head 50%
56% Goals 44%
56% Overall 44%

Double chance : Atalanta or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
0
5
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1

Side by side

Atalanta Lazio
3 Played 3
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
9 Goals for 5
2 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Atalanta

Inter (H) 22 Nov MID
Borac Banja Luka (A) 26 Nov MID
Lecce (A) 29 Nov MID
Lazio (A) 06 Dec MID

Lazio

Lecce (H) 21 Nov MID
Torino (A) 29 Nov MID
Atalanta (H) 06 Dec MID
AS Roma (H) 13 Dec MID

Atalanta vs Lazio: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.73 odds).

Atalanta are rated 58% by our tip model, with the draw at 23% and Lazio at 19%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 44% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Double chance : Atalanta or draw

Atalanta vs Lazio FAQs

What is the best prediction for Atalanta vs Lazio?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.73 odds).

Who will win Atalanta vs Lazio?

Model lean: Atalanta 58%, draw 23%, Lazio 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 44% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Atalanta vs Lazio?

Wednesday, 22nd April 2026 at 19:00 UTC , New Balance Arena.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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