Fluminense vs Bangu

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Our expert prediction for Fluminense vs Bangu is -3.5, at odds of 1.57 with a 64% probability rating.

Brazil: Carioca - 1
Mon, 16th Feb, 2026 Quarter-finals
Fluminense

Fluminense

L W W W W
FT
3 - 1
Bangu

Bangu

L W L W D
-5' Paulo Vitor
35' J. Savarino
40' A. Canobbio
42' Patryck Ferreira
70' Dudu
79' PH Ganso
82' Ricardo Sena
Prediction: -3.5 (1.57 Odds)
3 5 Goals 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Fluminense

1.50

1.50 – 1.00

Bangu

1.00

Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro W. do Nascimento

Fluminense

1.14

79% implied

Draw

6.25

14% implied

Bangu

15.00

6% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Free

1

Odds 1.18 85%
3 5 Goals Free

-3.5

Odds 1.57 64%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Fluminense vs Bangu

67%   Possession   33%

9   Shots on Target   1

88%   Pass Accuracy   77%

7   Corner Kicks   0

15   Fouls   16

0 0 0
0 3 0

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

5

Fluminense wins

0

Draws

1

Bangu wins

3.8

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

23 Feb 2025
Fluminense
3-2
Bangu
02 Feb 2024
Fluminense
4-1
Bangu
04 Mar 2023
Bangu
0-5
Fluminense
27 Jan 2022
Fluminense
0-1
Bangu
21 Mar 2021
Bangu
0-1
Fluminense
26 Jan 2020
Bangu
1-5
Fluminense

Carioca - 1 table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Portuguesa RJ
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
3
Nova Iguaçu
6 1 4 1 7:6 1 7
4
CFRJ / Maricá
6 1 1 4 6:15 -9 4

Top scorers

Carioca - 1
# Player Team Goals
1
Pedro
Flamengo
6
2
Patryck Ferreira
Bangu
6
3
K. Serna
Fluminense
5
4
Luan
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
3
5
John Kennedy
Fluminense
3
6
Gutemberg
Portuguesa RJ
3
7
MV
Volta Redonda
3
8
Lohan
Portuguesa RJ
3
9
Rhuan
Portuguesa RJ
3
10
Lucas Paquetá
Flamengo
3

Recent form

Fluminense

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitoria 0-3 W
H Internacional 2-1 W
A Chapecoense-sc 2-1 L
H Santos 1-2 L
H Palmeiras 1-2 L
A Flamengo 1-0 L
H Coritiba 4-0 W
A Corinthians 1-3 W
A Platense 2-1 L
A Atletico-MG 3-1 L

Bangu

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Olaria 1-1 D
A Olaria 2-0 L
A Botafogo 3-1 L
A Volta Redonda 1-1 D
H Volta Redonda 1-0 W
A Fluminense 3-1 L
H Boavista SC 1-1 D
A Nova Iguaçu 1-2 W
A Botafogo 2-0 L
A CFRJ / Maricá 1-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.50

Fluminense

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 1.00

Bangu

1.00

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

79%
14%
6%
Fluminense Draw Bangu

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Fluminense Bangu
63% Recent form 37%
58% Attack 42%
60% Defence 40%
69% Poisson 31%
80% Head-to-head 20%
76% Goals 24%
68% Overall 32%

Double chance : Fluminense or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Fluminense Bangu
6 Played 6
5 Won 3
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
9 Goals for 7
5 Goals against 7
2 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 2

What comes next

Fluminense

Sao Paulo (A) 20 Nov MID
Mirassol (H) 22 Nov MID
Cruzeiro (H) 27 Nov MID
RB Bragantino (A) 03 Dec MID

Fluminense vs Bangu: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.57 odds).

Fluminense are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Bangu at 10%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 3.8 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : Fluminense or draw

Fluminense vs Bangu FAQs

What is the best prediction for Fluminense vs Bangu?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Fluminense vs Bangu?

Model lean: Fluminense 45%, draw 45%, Bangu 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.8 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is Fluminense vs Bangu?

Monday, 16th February 2026 at 21:00 UTC .

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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