Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Real Sociedad arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against Athletic Club at Reale Arena, with our model giving this a 75% probability at odds of 1.33.

Spain: Copa del Rey
Wed, 4th Mar, 2026 Semi-finals
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

W W W W W
FT
1 - 0
Athletic Club

Athletic Club

W W W L
23' Aitor Paredes
56' Mikel Jauregizar
70' Gorka Guruzeta
81' Jesús Areso
87' M. Oyarzabal
90+9' Aihen Muñoz
90+6' Yangel Herrera
90+2' Aymeric Laporte
Prediction: 1X (1.33 Odds) Won
Double Chance 75% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.30

Real Sociedad

2.15

2.15 – 2.15

Athletic Club

2.15

Reale Arena, San Sebastian C. Soto Grado

Real Sociedad

2.20

43% implied

Draw

3.30

28% implied

Athletic Club

3.25

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.33 75%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club

49%   Possession   51%

4   Shots on Target   2

78%   Pass Accuracy   79%

11   Corner Kicks   8

14   Fouls   16

0 2 1
3 5 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

3

Real Sociedad wins

2

Draws

2

Athletic Club wins

2.1

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

43%

Over 2.5

11 Feb 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Real Sociedad
01 Feb 2026
Athletic Club
1-1
Real Sociedad
01 Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
3-2
Athletic Club
04 May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-0
Athletic Club
24 Nov 2024
Athletic Club
1-0
Real Sociedad
13 Jan 2024
Athletic Club
2-1
Real Sociedad
30 Sep 2023
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Club

Top scorers

Copa del Rey
# Player Team Goals
1
M. Díaz
Alaves
2
2
Alemão
Rayo Vallecano
2
3
T. Vizcay
Athletic Club
1
4
Carles Aleñá
Alaves
1
5
Jonny
Alaves
1
6
S. Sanchez
Athletic Club
1
7
Aitor Mañas
Alaves
1
8
C. Mitogo
Athletic Club
1
9
Gabriel Moscardo
Espanyol
1
10
Adri Carrión
Sestao River
1

Recent form

Real Sociedad

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Rayo Vallecano 1-0 W
H Lyon 1-1 D
A Athletic Club 2-1 L
H Levante 2-1 W
A Lillestrom 0-6 W
A Malaga 2-5 W
A Union St. Gilloise 1-1 D
H Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 W
H Athletic Club 0-1 L
A Valencia 2-3 W

Athletic Club

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Osasuna 1-1 D
H Real Sociedad 2-1 W
A Prat 1-6 W
H Getafe 4-0 W
A Levante 3-1 L
A Valencia 0-0 D
A Real Sociedad 0-1 W
H Alaves 0-0 D
H Elche 1-1 D
H Atletico Madrid 3-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.30

Real Sociedad

2.15

xG

Match

2.15 – 2.15

Athletic Club

2.15

xG

Our tip model

75%
14%
11%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

43%
28%
29%
Real Sociedad Draw Athletic Club

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Real Sociedad Athletic Club
63% Recent form 38%
61% Attack 39%
50% Defence 50%
59% Poisson 41%
62% Head-to-head 38%
56% Goals 44%
59% Overall 42%

Combo Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw and +1.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
7
76-90'
1
2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Real Sociedad Athletic Club
6 Played 4
6 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
14 Goals for 7
5 Goals against 5
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Real Sociedad

Racing Santander (A) 22 Nov MID
Crystal Palace (A) 26 Nov MID
Sevilla (H) 29 Nov MID
Real Madrid (H) 02 Dec MID

Athletic Club

Espanyol (H) 20 Nov MID
Malaga (A) 28 Nov MID
Real Madrid (H) 06 Dec MID
Deportivo La Coruna (A) 13 Dec MID

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.33 odds).

Real Sociedad are rated 75% by our tip model, with the draw at 14% and Athletic Club at 11%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.1 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 43%.

Combo Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw and +1.5 goals

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club FAQs

What is the best prediction for Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.33 odds).

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club?

Model lean: Real Sociedad 75%, draw 14%, Athletic Club 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.1 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 43% of the time.

When is Real Sociedad vs Athletic Club?

Wednesday, 4th March 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Reale Arena.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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