Sporting CP vs FC Porto

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Sporting CP arrive in strong form (WWWW) and are well-fancied to back 1X against FC Porto, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Tue, 3rd Mar, 2026 Semi-finals
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

W W W W
FT
1 - 0
FC Porto

FC Porto

W W W W
30' Geny Catamo
45+3' Morten Hjulmand
45+2' Alberto Costa
62' L. Suarez
64' Alan Varela
90+2' Gabri Veiga
Prediction: 1X (1.28 Odds) Won
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.05

Sporting CP

1.55

1.55 – 2.50

FC Porto

2.50

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon C. Pereira

Sporting CP

2.10

45% implied

Draw

3.10

30% implied

FC Porto

3.70

25% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

1X

Odds 1.28 78%
1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Sporting CP vs FC Porto

58%   Possession   42%

4   Shots on Target   1

82%   Pass Accuracy   82%

6   Corner Kicks   3

12   Fouls   23

0 2 3
2 3 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

2

Sporting CP wins

3

Draws

3

FC Porto wins

3

Goals / game

75%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

09 Feb 2026
FC Porto
1-1
Sporting CP
30 Aug 2025
Sporting CP
1-2
FC Porto
07 Feb 2025
FC Porto
1-1
Sporting CP
07 Jan 2025
Sporting CP
1-0
FC Porto
31 Aug 2024
Sporting CP
2-0
FC Porto
03 Aug 2024
Sporting CP
3-4
FC Porto
26 May 2024
FC Porto
2-1
Sporting CP
28 Apr 2024
FC Porto
2-2
Sporting CP

Recent form

Sporting CP

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Moreirense 1-0 W
A Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 W
A Casa Pia 0-2 W
H Maritimo 2-1 W
H Academico Viseu 1-2 L
H Lask Linz 2-3 L
A Lens 0-2 W
A SC Braga 1-3 W
H Arouca 2-2 D
A Famalicao 1-1 D

FC Porto

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Vitória SC 1-2 W
H Napoli 4-1 W
H Estoril 4-0 W
H Academico Viseu 1-0 W
A GIL Vicente 0-1 W
H PSV Eindhoven 0-1 L
A Real Betis 3-2 L
A Maritimo 1-2 W
A Deportivo La Coruna 1-3 W
H Benfica 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 4.05

Sporting CP

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 2.50

FC Porto

2.50

xG

Our tip model

78%
12%
10%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

45%
30%
25%
Sporting CP Draw FC Porto

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Sporting CP FC Porto
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
14% Defence 86%
0% Poisson 100%
62% Head-to-head 38%
60% Goals 40%
47% Overall 53%

Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
4
2
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0

Side by side

Sporting CP FC Porto
4 Played 4
4 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
12 Goals for 12
6 Goals against 1
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Sporting CP

UD da Serra (H) 21 Nov MID
Manchester United (H) 25 Nov MID
FC Porto (A) 29 Nov MID
Maritimo (H) 06 Dec MID

FC Porto

Paredes (H) 20 Nov MID
Feyenoord (A) 24 Nov MID
Sporting CP (H) 29 Nov MID
Santa Clara (A) 06 Dec MID

Sporting CP vs FC Porto: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.28 odds).

Sporting CP are rated 78% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and FC Porto at 10%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 75% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

Sporting CP vs FC Porto FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sporting CP vs FC Porto?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.28 odds).

Who will win Sporting CP vs FC Porto?

Model lean: Sporting CP 78%, draw 12%, FC Porto 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 75% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Sporting CP vs FC Porto?

Tuesday, 3rd March 2026 at 20:45 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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