Lyon vs Lens

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Lyon arrive in strong form (WWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Lens at Parc Olympique Lyonnais, with our model giving this a 67% probability at odds of 1.50.

France: Coupe de France
Thu, 5th Mar, 2026 Quarter-finals
Lyon

Lyon

W W W
PEN
2 - 2
Lens

Lens

W W W
-5' Arthur Masuaku
23' F. Thauvin
45+3' Nicolás Tagliafico
45+3' Odsonne Édouard
45' A. Sima
54' Matthieu Udol
67' R. Yaremchuk
78' Nidal Čelik
90' R. Himbert
Prediction: X2 (1.50 Odds) Won
Double Chance 67% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.55

Lyon

1.75

1.75 – 1.80

Lens

1.80

Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon B. Bastien

Lyon

2.50

37% implied

Draw

3.40

27% implied

Lens

2.62

35% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Won

Ov 1.5

Odds 1.34 75%
Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.50 67%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Lyon vs Lens

59%   Possession   41%

4   Shots on Target   4

85%   Pass Accuracy   75%

6   Corner Kicks   7

10   Fouls   16

0 1 1
1 3 1

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

2

Lyon wins

1

Draws

4

Lens wins

2.3

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

57%

Over 2.5

16 Aug 2025
Lens
0-1
Lyon
04 May 2025
Lyon
1-2
Lens
15 Sep 2024
Lens
0-0
Lyon
03 Mar 2024
Lyon
0-3
Lens
02 Dec 2023
Lens
3-2
Lyon
12 Feb 2023
Lyon
2-1
Lens
02 Oct 2022
Lens
1-0
Lyon

Recent form

Lyon

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Stade Brestois 29 2-0 L
A Real Sociedad 1-1 D
H Angers 2-0 W
A Paris Saint Germain 2-0 L
A 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 L
H Nice 2-1 W
H Crystal Palace 3-2 W
A Lens 2-1 L
H Rennes 4-0 W
A Anderlecht 1-2 W

Lens

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Marseille 1-2 L
H Como 1-9 L
A Lille 1-0 L
H Paris FC 2-1 W
A Club Brugge KV 3-0 L
A Estac Troyes 1-3 W
H Sporting CP 0-2 L
H Lyon 2-1 W
A Standard Liege 0-2 W
A Monaco 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.55

Lyon

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 1.80

Lens

1.80

xG

Our tip model

15%
18%
67%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

37%
27%
35%
Lyon Draw Lens

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Lyon Lens
50% Recent form 50%
41% Attack 59%
75% Defence 25%
100% Poisson 0%
29% Head-to-head 71%
33% Goals 67%
46% Overall 54%

Double chance : draw or Lens

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Lyon Lens
3 Played 3
3 Won 3
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
7 Goals for 10
1 Goals against 3
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Lyon

Lille (A) 21 Nov MID
Lillestrom (H) 26 Nov MID
Monaco (H) 29 Nov MID
Estac Troyes (A) 06 Dec MID

Lens

Toulouse (H) 21 Nov MID
RB Leipzig (A) 24 Nov MID
Angers (A) 28 Nov MID
Le Havre (H) 05 Dec MID

Lyon vs Lens: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.50 odds).

Lyon are rated 15% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Lens at 67%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 57%.

Double chance : draw or Lens

Lyon vs Lens FAQs

What is the best prediction for Lyon vs Lens?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.50 odds).

Who will win Lyon vs Lens?

Model lean: Lyon 15%, draw 18%, Lens 67%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 57% of the time.

When is Lyon vs Lens?

Thursday, 5th March 2026 at 20:10 UTC , Parc Olympique Lyonnais.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links