FK Liepaja vs Tukums

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

FK Liepaja and Tukums enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.48 (68% probability) to edge the Virsliga clash.

Latvia: Virsliga
Sat, 24th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 34
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

5th in table

D D D L W
FT
0 - 0
Tukums

Tukums

9th in table

W L D L L
45' Rodolphe Ekou
49' Davis Valmiers
72' Jun Toba
80' Kristaps Klavins
Prediction: 1 (1.48 Odds) Lost
Home Win 68% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.20

FK Liepaja

2.15

2.15 – 1.05

Tukums

1.05

Daugavas stadions, Liepaja A. Griscenko

FK Liepaja

1.48

61% implied

Draw

4.50

20% implied

Tukums

4.75

19% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Lost

1

Odds 1.48 68%
VIP · Home Win

••••

Odds ••• 71% conf.
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Match statistics

Match Statistics

FK Liepaja vs Tukums

68%   Possession   32%

6   Shots on Target   3

82%   Pass Accuracy   68%

9   Corner Kicks   3

16   Fouls   18

0 1 0
0 3 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

4

FK Liepaja wins

3

Draws

2

Tukums wins

3.3

Goals / game

78%

Both scored

89%

Over 2.5

02 Aug 2026
Tukums
2-1
FK Liepaja
30 May 2026
FK Liepaja
3-0
Tukums
17 Apr 2026
Tukums
2-2
FK Liepaja
14 Sep 2025
FK Liepaja
4-1
Tukums
25 Jun 2025
Tukums
1-3
FK Liepaja
06 May 2025
Tukums
2-2
FK Liepaja
12 Mar 2025
FK Liepaja
0-0
Tukums
01 Sep 2024
FK Liepaja
3-1
Tukums
20 Jun 2024
Tukums
2-1
FK Liepaja

Virsliga table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Rīgas FS
35 28 5 2 87:24 63 89
2
Riga
35 25 8 2 95:33 62 83
3
Auda
36 22 7 7 63:39 24 73
4
BFC Daugavpils
36 14 10 12 43:38 5 52
5
FK Liepaja
36 14 9 13 51:50 1 51
6
Super Nova
36 11 7 18 36:54 -18 40
7
FS Jelgava
36 9 8 19 41:61 -20 35
8
Grobiņa
36 6 11 19 28:66 -38 29
9
Tukums
36 5 10 21 45:69 -24 25
10
Ogre United
36 4 7 25 34:89 -55 19

Top scorers

Virsliga
# Player Team Goals
1
M. Badamosi
Riga
4
2
E. Dašķevičs
Auda
4
3
Paulo
Riga
3
4
Ž. Lipušček
Rīgas FS
3
5
M. Ošs
Super Nova
3
6
A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa
3
7
Filip Hašek
FS Jelgava
3
8
R. Ķiršs
Super Nova
3
9
A. Appiah
Auda
3
10
D. Kiwinda
BFC Daugavpils
2

Recent form

FK Liepaja

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Grobiņa 1-2 W
H Super Nova 3-3 D
H Tukums 0-0 D
H FS Jelgava 3-0 W
H Auda 2-3 L
H BFC Daugavpils 0-0 D
A Ogre United 2-2 D
A Rīgas FS 0-0 D
H Riga 3-2 W
A Auda 1-0 L

Tukums

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Auda 1-2 L
A BFC Daugavpils 2-0 L
A FK Liepaja 0-0 D
A Rīgas FS 2-0 L
H Riga 0-2 L
H Grobiņa 1-1 D
A Super Nova 1-0 L
H Ogre United 2-1 W
H FS Jelgava 1-4 L
A Auda 3-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.20

FK Liepaja

2.15

xG

Match

2.15 – 1.05

Tukums

1.05

xG

Our tip model

68%
18%
14%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

61%
20%
19%
FK Liepaja Draw Tukums

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

FK Liepaja Tukums
60% Recent form 40%
70% Attack 30%
58% Defence 42%
77% Poisson 23%
71% Head-to-head 29%
68% Goals 32%
67% Overall 33%

Winner : FK Liepaja

Season numbers

When the goals come

8
0-15'
3
4
16-30'
8
9
31-45'
11
10
46-60'
5
3
61-75'
5
12
76-90'
16
8
0-15'
10
6
16-30'
10
7
31-45'
10
8
46-60'
8
4
61-75'
13
13
76-90'
10

Side by side

FK Liepaja Tukums
33 Played 33
13 Won 5
7 Drawn 9
13 Lost 19
46 Goals for 44
46 Goals against 65
7 Clean sheets 1
10 Failed to score 7

What comes next

Tukums

Valmiera / BSS (A) 14 Nov MID

FK Liepaja vs Tukums: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.48 odds).

FK Liepaja are rated 68% by our tip model, with the draw at 18% and Tukums at 14%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 78% and over 2.5 in 89%.

Winner : FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja vs Tukums FAQs

What is the best prediction for FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.48 odds).

Who will win FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

Model lean: FK Liepaja 68%, draw 18%, Tukums 14%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 78% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 89% of the time.

When is FK Liepaja vs Tukums?

Saturday, 24th October 2026 at 10:00 UTC , Tukuma pilsetas stadions.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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