Riga vs Super Nova

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Riga and Super Nova enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on -3.5 at odds of 1.83 (55% probability) to edge the Virsliga clash.

Latvia: Virsliga
Sun, 18th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 33
Riga

Riga

D D W W W
FT
2 - 1
Super Nova

Super Nova

W L L W L
22' R. Kirss
48' Raki Aouani
49' ramires reginaldo
53' raivis kirss
55' Valerijs lizunovs
63' ivans patrikejevs
68' Iago Siqueira
71' Ibrahima Ndiaye
75' M. Badamosi
87' Mārcis Ošs
87' jegors cirulis
Prediction: -3.5 (1.83 Odds) Won
3 5 Goals 55% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.95

Riga

2.05

2.05 – 0.90

Super Nova

0.90

Skonto stadions, Riga E. Malcevs

Riga

1.14

81% implied

Draw

7.50

12% implied

Super Nova

15.00

6% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

3 5 Goals Won

-3.5

Odds 1.83 55%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Riga vs Super Nova

66%   Possession   34%

8   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

8   Corner Kicks   1

11   Fouls   17

0 2 3
0 6 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

8

Riga wins

1

Draws

0

Super Nova wins

3.9

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

15 Sep 2026
Super Nova
0-1
Riga
24 May 2026
Riga
3-0
Super Nova
14 Apr 2026
Super Nova
1-4
Riga
30 Aug 2025
Super Nova
2-6
Riga
22 Jun 2025
Riga
2-0
Super Nova
01 May 2025
Super Nova
1-5
Riga
06 Mar 2025
Riga
2-0
Super Nova
29 Oct 2023
Riga
1-1
Super Nova
06 Aug 2023
Super Nova
1-5
Riga

Top scorers

Virsliga
# Player Team Goals
1
M. Badamosi
Riga
4
2
E. Dašķevičs
Auda
4
3
Paulo
Riga
3
4
Ž. Lipušček
Rīgas FS
3
5
M. Ošs
Super Nova
3
6
A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa
3
7
Filip Hašek
FS Jelgava
3
8
R. Ķiršs
Super Nova
3
9
A. Appiah
Auda
3
10
D. Kiwinda
BFC Daugavpils
2

Recent form

Riga

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H FK Jablonec 1-1 D
A Ogre United 0-0 D
A Grobiņa 2-5 W
A Pafos 1-1 D
H Super Nova 2-1 W
H Kairat Almaty 1-1 D
A Tukums 0-2 W
A Aris 1-2 W
A FS Jelgava 0-1 W
A Super Nova 0-1 W

Super Nova

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H BFC Daugavpils 1-1 D
A FK Liepaja 3-3 D
H Rīgas FS 0-3 L
A Riga 2-1 L
A Rīgas FS 4-0 L
H Grobiņa 2-1 W
A Ogre United 1-0 L
H Riga 0-1 L
H Tukums 1-0 W
A FS Jelgava 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.95

Riga

2.05

xG

Match

2.05 – 0.90

Super Nova

0.90

xG

Our tip model

50%
50%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

81%
12%
6%
Riga Draw Super Nova

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Riga Super Nova
65% Recent form 35%
70% Attack 30%
70% Defence 30%
78% Poisson 22%
100% Head-to-head 0%
84% Goals 16%
73% Overall 27%

Double chance : Riga or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

8
0-15'
5
14
16-30'
5
18
31-45'
8
11
46-60'
6
12
61-75'
1
19
76-90'
9
6
0-15'
4
7
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
12
7
46-60'
6
5
61-75'
3
6
76-90'
11

Side by side

Riga Super Nova
32 Played 32
23 Won 11
7 Drawn 5
2 Lost 16
88 Goals for 31
30 Goals against 45
14 Clean sheets 8
1 Failed to score 9

What comes next

Riga

Auda (A) 20 Nov MID
Kauno Žalgiris (A) 26 Nov MID
Atalanta (H) 10 Dec MID
Borac Banja Luka (A) 17 Dec MID

Riga vs Super Nova: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.83 odds).

Riga are rated 50% by our tip model, with the draw at 50% and Super Nova at 0%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : Riga or draw

Riga vs Super Nova FAQs

What is the best prediction for Riga vs Super Nova?

Our top tip is 3 5 Goals: -3.5 (1.83 odds).

Who will win Riga vs Super Nova?

Model lean: Riga 50%, draw 50%, Super Nova 0%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Riga vs Super Nova?

Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 13:00 UTC , Skonto stadions.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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