Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 83% probability rating, 1 stands out as the confident call for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava in the Virsliga, priced at odds of 1.20.

Latvia: Virsliga
Sun, 11th Oct, 2026 Regular Season - 32
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

1st in table

D W D W D
FT
4 - 2
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

7th in table

W W L D L
28' F. Hasek
33' G. Zaleiko
45+3' G. Patika
47' F. Hasek
55' D. Lemajic
62' A. Kangars
62' S. Panic
64' D. Lemajic
74' A. Filipovic
80' S. Panic
81' R. Ndjiki
Prediction: 1 (1.20 Odds) Won
Home Win 83% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

Rīgas FS

2.30

2.30 – 1.10

FS Jelgava

1.10

Bislett Stadium, Oslo V. Spasjonnikovs

Rīgas FS

1.20

76% implied

Draw

6.00

15% implied

FS Jelgava

11.00

8% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.20 83%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

7

Rīgas FS wins

1

Draws

1

FS Jelgava wins

2.2

Goals / game

22%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

20 Jul 2026
FS Jelgava
0-1
Rīgas FS
12 Jul 2026
Rīgas FS
2-0
FS Jelgava
21 May 2026
Rīgas FS
4-0
FS Jelgava
08 Apr 2026
FS Jelgava
0-1
Rīgas FS
13 Sep 2025
Rīgas FS
1-4
FS Jelgava
12 Jul 2025
FS Jelgava
0-1
Rīgas FS
26 Jun 2025
FS Jelgava
0-1
Rīgas FS
05 May 2025
FS Jelgava
2-2
Rīgas FS
11 Mar 2025
Rīgas FS
1-0
FS Jelgava

Virsliga table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Rīgas FS
35 28 5 2 87:24 63 89
2
Riga
35 25 8 2 95:33 62 83
3
Auda
36 22 7 7 63:39 24 73
4
BFC Daugavpils
36 14 10 12 43:38 5 52
5
FK Liepaja
36 14 9 13 51:50 1 51
6
Super Nova
36 11 7 18 36:54 -18 40
7
FS Jelgava
36 9 8 19 41:61 -20 35
8
Grobiņa
36 6 11 19 28:66 -38 29
9
Tukums
36 5 10 21 45:69 -24 25
10
Ogre United
36 4 7 25 34:89 -55 19

Top scorers

Virsliga
# Player Team Goals
1
M. Badamosi
Riga
4
2
E. Dašķevičs
Auda
4
3
Paulo
Riga
3
4
Ž. Lipušček
Rīgas FS
3
5
M. Ošs
Super Nova
3
6
A. Puzirevskis
Grobiņa
3
7
Filip Hašek
FS Jelgava
3
8
R. Ķiršs
Super Nova
3
9
A. Appiah
Auda
3
10
D. Kiwinda
BFC Daugavpils
2

Recent form

Rīgas FS

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Grobiņa 3-0 W
A Super Nova 0-3 W
H Tukums 2-0 W
H Super Nova 4-0 W
H FS Jelgava 4-2 W
A Auda 1-1 D
A BFC Daugavpils 1-2 W
H FK Liepaja 0-0 D
H Riga 2-3 L
A Ogre United 0-3 W

FS Jelgava

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Ogre United 4-0 W
A Auda 4-3 L
H BFC Daugavpils 0-1 L
A FK Liepaja 3-0 L
A Rīgas FS 4-2 L
H Riga 0-1 L
A Grobiņa 0-0 D
H Super Nova 0-1 L
A Tukums 1-4 W
A Ogre United 2-3 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.40

Rīgas FS

2.30

xG

Match

2.30 – 1.10

FS Jelgava

1.10

xG

Our tip model

83%
9%
8%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

76%
15%
8%
Rīgas FS Draw FS Jelgava

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Rīgas FS FS Jelgava
56% Recent form 44%
56% Attack 44%
50% Defence 50%
78% Poisson 22%
80% Head-to-head 20%
69% Goals 31%
65% Overall 35%

Double chance : Rīgas FS or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

8
0-15'
7
11
16-30'
6
11
31-45'
5
9
46-60'
3
13
61-75'
7
16
76-90'
7
2
0-15'
7
6
16-30'
8
6
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
7
3
61-75'
6
4
76-90'
13

Side by side

Rīgas FS FS Jelgava
30 Played 31
23 Won 8
5 Drawn 8
2 Lost 15
71 Goals for 32
22 Goals against 49
15 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 15

Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.20 odds).

Rīgas FS are rated 83% by our tip model, with the draw at 9% and FS Jelgava at 8%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 2.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 22% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Double chance : Rīgas FS or draw

Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava FAQs

What is the best prediction for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.20 odds).

Who will win Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

Model lean: Rīgas FS 83%, draw 9%, FS Jelgava 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 22% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?

Sunday, 11th October 2026 at 13:00 UTC , Bislett Stadium.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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