Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Aberdeen and Motherwell enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on no at odds of 1.95 (51% probability) to edge the FA Cup clash.

Scotland: FA Cup
Wed, 18th Feb, 2026 Round of 16
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

W
FT
2 - 0
Motherwell

Motherwell

W
2' Oscar Priestman
4' K. Nisbet
18' Nicolas Milanović
24' Dennis Geiger
40' Topi Keskinen
50' Liam Gordon
63' Stephen O'Donnell
63' G. Shinnie
66' Callum Slattery
72' Ante Palaversa
Prediction: no (1.95 Odds) Won
BTTS/GG 51% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 0.60

Aberdeen

0.55

0.55 – 0.05

Motherwell

0.05

Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen J. Beaton

Aberdeen

3.10

29% implied

Draw

3.20

28% implied

Motherwell

2.15

42% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Won

Ov 1.5

Odds 1.30 77%
1.5 Goals Won

+1.5

Odds 1.33 75%
BTTS/GG Won

no

Odds 1.95 51%
Away Win Lost

2

Odds 2.15 47%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Aberdeen vs Motherwell

40%   Possession   60%

9   Shots on Target   4

0   Pass Accuracy   0

2   Corner Kicks   9

16   Fouls   15

1 3 1
1 2 2

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

3

Aberdeen wins

1

Draws

4

Motherwell wins

2.3

Goals / game

38%

Both scored

25%

Over 2.5

15 Feb 2026
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
09 Nov 2025
Aberdeen
1-1
Motherwell
27 Sep 2025
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
20 Sep 2025
Aberdeen
0-1
Motherwell
29 Mar 2025
Aberdeen
4-1
Motherwell
05 Jan 2025
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
14 Sep 2024
Aberdeen
2-1
Motherwell
27 Apr 2024
Aberdeen
1-0
Motherwell

Recent form

Aberdeen

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Hibernian 0-4 L
A Rangers 1-0 L
H Falkirk 0-1 L
A Dundee Utd 3-2 L
H ST Mirren 3-1 W
H ST Johnstone 0-1 L
A Dunfermline 1-4 W
A Hibernian 1-1 D
A Motherwell 0-4 W
H Kilmarnock 0-0 D

Motherwell

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Dundee Utd 1-1 D
H ST Mirren 1-0 W
A ST Johnstone 2-2 D
H Heart Of Midlothian 0-2 L
A Kilmarnock 3-2 L
H Celtic 0-2 L
A Dundee 2-1 L
H Aberdeen 0-4 L
A Rangers 1-0 L
H Dundee Utd 3-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 0.60

Aberdeen

0.55

xG

Match

0.55 – 0.05

Motherwell

0.05

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

29%
28%
42%
Aberdeen Draw Motherwell

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Aberdeen Motherwell
50% Recent form 50%
50% Attack 50%
29% Head-to-head 71%
42% Goals 58%
43% Overall 57%

Combo Double chance : draw or Motherwell and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Aberdeen Motherwell
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
1 Goals for 1
0 Goals against 0
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock (A) 21 Nov MID
Rangers (A) 24 Nov MID
Dundee (H) 28 Nov MID
Heart Of Midlothian (A) 02 Dec MID

Motherwell

Rangers (H) 21 Nov MID
Hibernian (H) 28 Nov MID
Falkirk (A) 02 Dec MID
Kilmarnock (H) 05 Dec MID

Aberdeen vs Motherwell: preview and prediction

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.95 odds).

Aberdeen are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Motherwell at 45%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 38% and over 2.5 in 25%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Motherwell and -3.5 goals

Aberdeen vs Motherwell FAQs

What is the best prediction for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Our top tip is BTTS/GG: no (1.95 odds).

Who will win Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Model lean: Aberdeen 10%, draw 45%, Motherwell 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 38% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 25% of the time.

When is Aberdeen vs Motherwell?

Wednesday, 18th February 2026 at 19:45 UTC , Pittodrie Stadium.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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