Senegal vs Morocco

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Senegal arrive in strong form (DWWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Morocco at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

World: Africa Cup of Nations
Sun, 18th Jan, 2026 Final
Senegal

Senegal

D W W W W
WO
0 - 3
Morocco

Morocco

D W W W W
24' Lamine Camara
90+21' Edouard Mendy
90+10' El Hadji Malick Diouf
90+9' Ismaïla Sarr
90+21' Anass Salah-Eddine
94' P. Gueye
112' Youssef En-Nesyri
113' Mamadou Sarr
Prediction: X2 (1.28 Odds) Won
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.15

Senegal

1.05

1.05 – 1.10

Morocco

1.10

Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah, Rabat Ndala Ngambo, DR Congo

Senegal

3.60

26% implied

Draw

2.90

32% implied

Morocco

2.25

42% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.28 78%
Draws Won

X

Odds 2.90 34%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Senegal vs Morocco

50%   Possession   50%

7   Shots on Target   3

80%   Pass Accuracy   81%

8   Corner Kicks   10

25   Fouls   17

0 5 1
1 2 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

0

Senegal wins

1

Draws

1

Morocco wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

26 Aug 2025
Morocco
1-1
Senegal
09 Oct 2020
Morocco
3-1
Senegal

Recent form

Senegal

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Comoros 0-1 W
A Ethiopia 0-1 W
A Mozambique 1-1 D
H Iraq 5-0 W
A Norway 3-2 L
A France 3-1 L
A Saudi Arabia 0-0 D
A USA 3-2 L
H Gambia 3-1 W
H Peru 2-0 W

Morocco

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Mali 1-1 D
A Lesotho 0-2 W
H Gabon 2-0 W
A France 2-0 L
A Canada 0-3 W
H Haiti 4-2 W
A Scotland 0-1 W
A Brazil 1-1 D
H Norway 1-1 D
H Madagascar 4-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.15

Senegal

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.10

Morocco

1.10

xG

Our tip model

10%
12%
78%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

26%
32%
42%
Senegal Draw Morocco

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Senegal Morocco
54% Recent form 46%
56% Attack 44%
33% Defence 67%
0% Poisson 100%
20% Head-to-head 80%
33% Goals 67%
39% Overall 61%

Combo Double chance : draw or Morocco and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Senegal Morocco
6 Played 6
5 Won 4
1 Drawn 2
0 Lost 0
12 Goals for 9
2 Goals against 1
4 Clean sheets 5
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Senegal

Sudan (H) 12 Nov MID
Sudan (A) 16 Nov MID
Mozambique (A) 24 Mar MID
Ethiopia (H) 28 Mar MID

Morocco

Niger (H) 13 Nov MID
Niger (A) 17 Nov MID
Gabon (A) 24 Mar MID
Lesotho (H) 28 Mar MID

Senegal vs Morocco: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Senegal are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Morocco at 78%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Morocco and -3.5 goals

Senegal vs Morocco FAQs

What is the best prediction for Senegal vs Morocco?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Who will win Senegal vs Morocco?

Model lean: Senegal 10%, draw 12%, Morocco 78%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Senegal vs Morocco?

Sunday, 18th January 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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