Egypt vs Nigeria

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Egypt arrive in strong form (WDWWL) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Nigeria at Stade Mohamed V, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

World: Africa Cup of Nations
Sat, 17th Jan, 2026 3rd place
Egypt

Egypt

W D W W L
PEN
0 - 0
Nigeria

Nigeria

W W W W L
39' Paul Onuachu
45' Moses Simon
87' Igoh Ogbu
Prediction: X2 (1.28 Odds) Won
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Egypt

1.40

1.40 – 1.75

Nigeria

1.75

Stade Mohammed V, Casablanca Jalal Jayed, Morocco

Egypt

3.60

26% implied

Draw

3.00

32% implied

Nigeria

2.25

42% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.28 78%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Egypt vs Nigeria

53%   Possession   47%

1   Shots on Target   4

85%   Pass Accuracy   87%

2   Corner Kicks   4

15   Fouls   16

0 0 3
4 3 0

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3 games

1

Egypt wins

0

Draws

2

Nigeria wins

1.7

Goals / game

33%

Both scored

33%

Over 2.5

16 Dec 2025
Egypt
2-1
Nigeria
11 Jan 2022
Nigeria
1-0
Egypt
26 Mar 2019
Nigeria
1-0
Egypt

Recent form

Egypt

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H South Africa 0-1 L
A South Sudan 0-5 W
H Angola 0-0 D
A Argentina 3-2 L
H Iran 1-1 D
A New Zealand 1-3 W
A Belgium 1-1 D
A Brazil 2-1 L
H Russia 1-0 W
A Spain 0-0 D

Nigeria

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Russia 3-3 D
A Guinea-Bissau 3-0 L
H Madagascar 2-1 W
A Portugal 2-1 L
A Poland 2-2 D
A Jamaica 0-3 W
H Zimbabwe 2-0 W
A Jordan 2-2 D
A Iran 1-2 W
A Algeria 0-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.15

Egypt

1.40

xG

Match

1.40 – 1.75

Nigeria

1.75

xG

Our tip model

10%
12%
78%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

26%
32%
42%
Egypt Draw Nigeria

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Egypt Nigeria
43% Recent form 57%
37% Attack 63%
43% Defence 57%
28% Poisson 72%
33% Head-to-head 67%
40% Goals 60%
37% Overall 63%

Double chance : draw or Nigeria

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
5
2
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1

Side by side

Egypt Nigeria
6 Played 6
4 Won 5
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
9 Goals for 14
5 Goals against 4
2 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Egypt

Malawi (H) 13 Nov MID
Malawi (A) 17 Nov MID
Angola (A) 24 Mar MID
South Sudan (H) 28 Mar MID

Nigeria

Tanzania (H) 13 Nov MID
Tanzania (A) 17 Nov MID
Madagascar (A) 24 Mar MID
Guinea-Bissau (H) 28 Mar MID

Egypt vs Nigeria: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Egypt are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Nigeria at 78%.

In the last 3 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 33% and over 2.5 in 33%.

Double chance : draw or Nigeria

Egypt vs Nigeria FAQs

What is the best prediction for Egypt vs Nigeria?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Who will win Egypt vs Nigeria?

Model lean: Egypt 10%, draw 12%, Nigeria 78%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 33% of the last 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 33% of the time.

When is Egypt vs Nigeria?

Saturday, 17th January 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stade Mohamed V.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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