Estac Troyes vs Lens

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Estac Troyes and Lens enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1X at odds of 2.38 (42% probability) to edge the Coupe de France clash.

France: Coupe de France
Wed, 4th Feb, 2026 Round of 16
Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes

W W W W
FT
2 - 4
Lens

Lens

W W
17' Hugo Gambor
25' Mouhamed Diop
41' F. Sotoca
45' M. Adeline
50' A. Sima
52' A. Bulatovic
58' A. Sima
63' R. Ripart
66' Wesley Saïd
70' Adrien Monfray
71' Renaud Ripart
79' Allan Saint-Maximin
Prediction: 1X (2.38 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 42% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.60

Estac Troyes

0.05

0.05 – 1.55

Lens

1.55

Stade de l'Aube, Troyes G. Angoula

Estac Troyes

4.50

21% implied

Draw

5.00

19% implied

Lens

1.55

60% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Won

X2

Odds 1.33 75%
3 5 Goals Lost

-3.5

Odds 1.40 71%
Double Chance Lost

1X

Odds 2.38 42%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Estac Troyes vs Lens

41%   Possession   59%

8   Shots on Target   9

77%   Pass Accuracy   84%

6   Corner Kicks   8

12   Fouls   10

0 4 3
5 3 0

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8 games

2

Estac Troyes wins

1

Draws

5

Lens wins

2.3

Goals / game

38%

Both scored

38%

Over 2.5

28 Jan 2023
Estac Troyes
1-1
Lens
09 Sep 2022
Lens
1-0
Estac Troyes
14 May 2022
Estac Troyes
1-3
Lens
05 Nov 2021
Lens
4-0
Estac Troyes
04 Feb 2020
Lens
1-0
Estac Troyes
24 Aug 2019
Estac Troyes
2-0
Lens
13 Aug 2019
Estac Troyes
1-2
Lens
28 Jan 2019
Estac Troyes
1-0
Lens

Recent form

Estac Troyes

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Paris Saint Germain 1-0 L
H Le Mans 2-0 W
A Toulouse 0-0 D
H Lens 1-3 L
H Marseille 0-2 L
A Dijon 2-2 D
A Angers 2-0 L
A Lille 2-0 L
H Strasbourg 2-6 L
A Lorient 1-2 W

Lens

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Marseille 1-2 L
H Como 1-9 L
A Lille 1-0 L
H Paris FC 2-1 W
A Club Brugge KV 3-0 L
A Estac Troyes 1-3 W
H Sporting CP 0-2 L
H Lyon 2-1 W
A Standard Liege 0-2 W
A Monaco 2-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.60

Estac Troyes

0.05

xG

Match

0.05 – 1.55

Lens

1.55

xG

Our tip model

42%
32%
26%

API-Football

35%
35%
30%

Bookmaker

21%
19%
60%
Estac Troyes Draw Lens

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Estac Troyes Lens
67% Recent form 33%
63% Attack 38%
50% Defence 50%
7% Head-to-head 93%
17% Goals 83%
41% Overall 59%

Double chance : Estac Troyes or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Estac Troyes Lens
4 Played 2
4 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
10 Goals for 6
1 Goals against 1
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Estac Troyes

Le Havre (H) 20 Nov MID
Nice (A) 28 Nov MID
Lyon (H) 06 Dec MID
Stade Brestois 29 (A) 12 Dec MID

Lens

Toulouse (H) 21 Nov MID
RB Leipzig (A) 24 Nov MID
Angers (A) 28 Nov MID
Le Havre (H) 05 Dec MID

Estac Troyes vs Lens: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (2.38 odds).

Estac Troyes are rated 42% by our tip model, with the draw at 32% and Lens at 26%.

In the last 8 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 38% and over 2.5 in 38%.

Double chance : Estac Troyes or draw

Estac Troyes vs Lens FAQs

What is the best prediction for Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (2.38 odds).

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Model lean: Estac Troyes 42%, draw 32%, Lens 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 38% of the last 8 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 38% of the time.

When is Estac Troyes vs Lens?

Wednesday, 4th February 2026 at 20:00 UTC .

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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