Nice vs Montpellier

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Nice and Montpellier enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 2.10 (48% probability) to edge the Coupe de France clash.

France: Coupe de France
Wed, 4th Feb, 2026 Round of 16
Nice

Nice

W W
FT
3 - 2
Montpellier

Montpellier

W W W W
3' K. Peprah
32' Lucas Mincarelli Davin
44' Teji Savanier
69' A. Mendy
72' K. Boudache
89' A. Mendy
90+4' Julien Laporte
90+2' Everson Junior
90' S. Diop
Prediction: X2 (2.10 Odds) Lost
Double Chance 48% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.70

Nice

1.05

1.05 – 1.65

Montpellier

1.65

Allianz Riviera, Nice R. Lissorgue

Nice

1.70

55% implied

Draw

4.20

22% implied

Montpellier

4.20

22% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Lost

X2

Odds 2.10 48%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Nice vs Montpellier

65%   Possession   35%

6   Shots on Target   3

87%   Pass Accuracy   76%

7   Corner Kicks   4

16   Fouls   13

0 0 3
2 4 0

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

5

Nice wins

3

Draws

1

Montpellier wins

3

Goals / game

56%

Both scored

56%

Over 2.5

23 Feb 2025
Nice
2-0
Montpellier
15 Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Nice
08 Mar 2024
Nice
1-2
Montpellier
07 Feb 2024
Montpellier
1-4
Nice
10 Nov 2023
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
22 Jul 2023
Nice
1-0
Montpellier
27 May 2023
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
11 Jan 2023
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
12 Mar 2022
Montpellier
0-0
Nice

Recent form

Nice

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Angers 0-2 W
H Rennes 5-2 W
A Stade Brestois 29 1-2 W
A Lyon 2-1 L
H Strasbourg 2-1 W
H Lille 2-1 W
A Auxerre 1-0 L
H Le Mans 1-1 D
A Paris FC 3-0 L
H Lorient 0-0 D

Montpellier

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Metz 2-3 L
A Annecy 0-3 W
H RED Star FC 93 2-1 W
A Rodez 0-3 W
H Grenoble 2-0 W
A Reims 1-1 D
H PAU 1-0 W
A Saint Etienne 3-1 L
H Boulogne 0-0 D
A Dunkerque 0-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.70

Nice

1.05

xG

Match

1.05 – 1.65

Montpellier

1.65

xG

Our tip model

23%
29%
48%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

55%
22%
22%
Nice Draw Montpellier

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Nice Montpellier
33% Recent form 67%
31% Attack 69%
0% Defence 100%
0% Poisson 100%
62% Head-to-head 38%
64% Goals 36%
48% Overall 53%

Double chance : draw or Montpellier

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Nice Montpellier
2 Played 4
2 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
4 Goals for 9
2 Goals against 0
0 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Nice

Paris Saint Germain (H) 21 Nov MID
Estac Troyes (H) 28 Nov MID
Marseille (A) 06 Dec MID
Lens (H) 12 Dec MID

Montpellier

Balagne (A) 14 Nov MID
Laval (A) 20 Nov MID
Nantes (H) 04 Dec MID
Sochaux (A) 11 Dec MID

Nice vs Montpellier: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.10 odds).

Nice are rated 23% by our tip model, with the draw at 29% and Montpellier at 48%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 56% and over 2.5 in 56%.

Double chance : draw or Montpellier

Nice vs Montpellier FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nice vs Montpellier?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.10 odds).

Who will win Nice vs Montpellier?

Model lean: Nice 23%, draw 29%, Montpellier 48%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 56% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 56% of the time.

When is Nice vs Montpellier?

Wednesday, 4th February 2026 at 19:30 UTC , Allianz Riviera.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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