Marseille vs Rennes

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Marseille and Rennes enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Coupe de France clash.

France: Coupe de France
Tue, 3rd Feb, 2026 Round of 16
Marseille

Marseille

W W
FT
3 - 0
Rennes

Rennes

W W
2' A. Gouiri
22' Ethan Nwaneri
42' Alidu Seidu
45+3' Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
46' M. Greenwood
67' Quentin Merlin
74' Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
83' P. Aubameyang
90' Leonardo Balerdi
90' Geoffrey Kondogbia
90' Breel Embolo
Prediction: 1 (1.57 Odds) Won
Home Win 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Marseille

0.50

0.50 – 1.55

Rennes

1.55

Orange Velodrome, Marseille T. Leonard

Marseille

1.57

60% implied

Draw

4.33

22% implied

Rennes

5.00

19% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Won

HWEH

Odds 1.26 79%
Free Tip Won

1X

Odds 1.33 75%
Home Win Won

1

Odds 1.57 64%
2.5 Goals Won

+2.5

Odds 1.57 64%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Marseille vs Rennes

50%   Possession   50%

4   Shots on Target   4

90%   Pass Accuracy   87%

2   Corner Kicks   3

19   Fouls   14

0 4 4
1 4 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

4

Marseille wins

1

Draws

2

Rennes wins

2.4

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

29%

Over 2.5

15 Aug 2025
Rennes
1-0
Marseille
17 May 2025
Marseille
4-2
Rennes
11 Jan 2025
Rennes
1-2
Marseille
17 Mar 2024
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
21 Jan 2024
Rennes
1-1
Marseille
03 Dec 2023
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
05 Mar 2023
Rennes
0-1
Marseille

Recent form

Marseille

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Lens 1-2 W
A Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 W
H Toulouse 2-0 W
H Le Havre 4-3 W
A Sturm Graz 1-0 L
A Angers 2-5 W
H Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 L
A Estac Troyes 0-2 W
H Paris Saint Germain 1-2 L
A Beşiktaş 4-1 L

Rennes

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Lille 1-2 L
H Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 D
A Nice 5-2 L
H Strasbourg 3-0 W
A Juventus 2-2 D
A Paris FC 4-3 L
H OFI 2-1 W
H Auxerre 4-1 W
A Laval 1-0 L
A Lyon 4-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.05

Marseille

0.50

xG

Match

0.50 – 1.55

Rennes

1.55

xG

Our tip model

64%
20%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

60%
22%
19%
Marseille Draw Rennes

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Marseille Rennes
50% Recent form 50%
71% Attack 29%
100% Defence 0%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
55% Overall 45%

Combo Winner : Marseille and +2.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
3
5
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Marseille Rennes
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
15 Goals for 6
0 Goals against 1
2 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Marseille

Le Mans (H) 22 Nov MID
Levski Sofia (H) 26 Nov MID
Auxerre (A) 29 Nov MID
Nice (H) 06 Dec MID

Rennes

Lorient (A) 22 Nov MID
NEC Nijmegen (A) 26 Nov MID
Toulouse (A) 29 Nov MID
Stade Brestois 29 (H) 06 Dec MID

Marseille vs Rennes: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Marseille are rated 64% by our tip model, with the draw at 20% and Rennes at 16%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.4 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 29%.

Combo Winner : Marseille and +2.5 goals

Marseille vs Rennes FAQs

What is the best prediction for Marseille vs Rennes?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.57 odds).

Who will win Marseille vs Rennes?

Model lean: Marseille 64%, draw 20%, Rennes 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.4 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 29% of the time.

When is Marseille vs Rennes?

Tuesday, 3rd February 2026 at 20:10 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links