Nigeria vs Morocco

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Nigeria arrive in strong form (WWWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Morocco at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, with our model giving this a 78% probability at odds of 1.28.

World: Africa Cup of Nations
Wed, 14th Jan, 2026 Semi-finals
Nigeria

Nigeria

W W W W W
PEN
0 - 0
Morocco

Morocco

W D W W W
33' Calvin Bassey
77' Raphael Onyedika
Prediction: X2 (1.28 Odds) Won
Double Chance 78% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Nigeria

1.55

1.55 – 1.75

Morocco

1.75

Complexe Sportif Moulay Abdellah, Rabat Daniel Laryea, Ghana

Nigeria

3.60

26% implied

Draw

3.00

32% implied

Morocco

2.25

42% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Won

X2

Odds 1.28 78%
1.5 Goals Lost

+1.5

Odds 1.40 71%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Nigeria vs Morocco

51%   Possession   49%

1   Shots on Target   5

83%   Pass Accuracy   83%

1   Corner Kicks   5

29   Fouls   22

0 2 0
0 0 0

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2 games

1

Nigeria wins

0

Draws

1

Morocco wins

5.5

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

04 Feb 2018
Morocco
4-0
Nigeria
25 Jan 2014
Nigeria
4-3
Morocco

Recent form

Nigeria

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Russia 3-3 D
A Guinea-Bissau 3-0 L
H Madagascar 2-1 W
A Portugal 2-1 L
A Poland 2-2 D
A Jamaica 0-3 W
H Zimbabwe 2-0 W
A Jordan 2-2 D
A Iran 1-2 W
A Algeria 0-2 W

Morocco

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Mali 1-1 D
A Lesotho 0-2 W
H Gabon 2-0 W
A France 2-0 L
A Canada 0-3 W
H Haiti 4-2 W
A Scotland 0-1 W
A Brazil 1-1 D
H Norway 1-1 D
H Madagascar 4-0 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 3.30

Nigeria

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 1.75

Morocco

1.75

xG

Our tip model

10%
12%
78%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

26%
32%
42%
Nigeria Draw Morocco

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Nigeria Morocco
54% Recent form 46%
61% Attack 39%
20% Defence 80%
0% Poisson 100%
50% Head-to-head 50%
36% Goals 64%
44% Overall 56%

Double chance : draw or Morocco

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
1
5
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0

Side by side

Nigeria Morocco
5 Played 5
5 Won 4
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
14 Goals for 9
4 Goals against 1
2 Clean sheets 4
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Nigeria

Tanzania (H) 13 Nov MID
Tanzania (A) 17 Nov MID
Madagascar (A) 24 Mar MID
Guinea-Bissau (H) 28 Mar MID

Morocco

Niger (H) 13 Nov MID
Niger (A) 17 Nov MID
Gabon (A) 24 Mar MID
Lesotho (H) 28 Mar MID

Nigeria vs Morocco: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Nigeria are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 12% and Morocco at 78%.

In the last 2 meetings they averaged 5.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : draw or Morocco

Nigeria vs Morocco FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nigeria vs Morocco?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.28 odds).

Who will win Nigeria vs Morocco?

Model lean: Nigeria 10%, draw 12%, Morocco 78%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 2 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 5.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Nigeria vs Morocco?

Wednesday, 14th January 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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