Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Nacional Asuncion and Libertad Asuncion enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on X2 at odds of 1.62 (62% probability) to edge the Division Profesional - Apertura clash.

Paraguay: Division Profesional - Apertura
Sun, 24th May, 2026 Apertura - 22
Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion

D W W W D
FT
2 - 1
Libertad Asuncion

Libertad Asuncion

L W W W D
9' Mauro Coronel
20' M. D. Espinoza Acosta
29' O. Gaona Lugo
45+5' Marcelo Fernandez
45' D. J. Colman Escobar
77' Thomas Gutiérrez
84' Santiago Rojas
90+4' Jorge Recalde
Prediction: X2 (1.62 Odds)
Double Chance 62% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.65

Nacional Asuncion

1.50

1.50 – 1.15

Libertad Asuncion

1.15

Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asuncion J. Benitez

Nacional Asuncion

2.10

43% implied

Draw

3.00

30% implied

Libertad Asuncion

3.40

27% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 1.62 62%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion

46%   Possession   54%

3   Shots on Target   2

75%   Pass Accuracy   78%

3   Corner Kicks   8

12   Fouls   10

0 3 2
0 2 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

3

Nacional Asuncion wins

0

Draws

4

Libertad Asuncion wins

2.3

Goals / game

43%

Both scored

57%

Over 2.5

18 Mar 2026
Libertad Asuncion
2-1
Nacional Asuncion
27 Sep 2025
Nacional Asuncion
3-1
Libertad Asuncion
19 Jul 2025
Libertad Asuncion
0-1
Nacional Asuncion
11 Apr 2025
Libertad Asuncion
1-0
Nacional Asuncion
29 Jan 2025
Nacional Asuncion
0-3
Libertad Asuncion
06 Dec 2024
Libertad Asuncion
1-0
Nacional Asuncion
29 Sep 2024
Nacional Asuncion
2-1
Libertad Asuncion

Recent form

Nacional Asuncion

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Libertad Asuncion 3-0 L
H Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-2 L
A Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 W
H Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 L
A Club Guarani 0-2 W
H Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 W
A Olimpia 1-1 D
H Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 D
H 2 de Mayo 3-0 W
A Rubio NU 0-1 W

Libertad Asuncion

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Nacional Asuncion 3-0 W
H Cerro Porteno 0-1 L
A Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2-1 L
H Independiente F.b.c. 3-1 W
H Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 W
A Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 L
H Club Guarani 2-2 D
A Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 W
H Olimpia 0-1 L
H Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.65

Nacional Asuncion

1.50

xG

Match

1.50 – 1.15

Libertad Asuncion

1.15

xG

Our tip model

17%
21%
62%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

43%
30%
27%
Nacional Asuncion Draw Libertad Asuncion

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Nacional Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
52% Recent form 48%
39% Attack 61%
64% Defence 36%
57% Poisson 43%
40% Head-to-head 60%
42% Goals 58%
49% Overall 51%

Double chance : draw or Libertad Asuncion

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
5
4
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
8
4
61-75'
6
10
76-90'
6
6
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
6
3
76-90'
6

Side by side

Nacional Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
21 Played 21
9 Won 9
9 Drawn 4
3 Lost 8
29 Goals for 33
21 Goals against 24
6 Clean sheets 7
3 Failed to score 7

What comes next

Nacional Asuncion

Cerro Porteno (H) 23 Nov MID
Rubio NU (H) 25 Nov MID
2 de Mayo (A) 29 Nov MID

Libertad Asuncion

Deportivo Recoleta (A) 14 Nov MID
Rubio NU (A) 22 Nov MID
2 de Mayo (H) 25 Nov MID
Sportivo Ameliano (A) 29 Nov MID

Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.62 odds).

Nacional Asuncion are rated 17% by our tip model, with the draw at 21% and Libertad Asuncion at 62%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.3 goals per game, with BTTS in 43% and over 2.5 in 57%.

Double chance : draw or Libertad Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (1.62 odds).

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

Model lean: Nacional Asuncion 17%, draw 21%, Libertad Asuncion 62%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 43% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 57% of the time.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

Sunday, 24th May 2026 at 20:00 UTC , Estadio Arsenio Erico.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links