Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Libertad Asuncion and Club Sp. San Lorenzo enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on 1 at odds of 1.53 (65% probability) to edge the Division Profesional - Apertura clash.

Paraguay: Division Profesional - Apertura
Fri, 1st May, 2026 Apertura - 19
Libertad Asuncion

Libertad Asuncion

6th in table

W L D L W
FT
5 - 0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

12th in table

L L W L L
25' A. Molinas
29' L. Melgarejo
52' L. Melgarejo
66' R. Villalba
85' J. Recalde
Prediction: 1 (1.53 Odds)
Home Win 65% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.70

Libertad Asuncion

1.75

1.75 – 0.95

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

0.95

Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion A. Colman

Libertad Asuncion

1.53

59% implied

Draw

3.70

24% implied

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

5.50

16% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Free

+1.5

Odds 1.30 77%
Home Win Free

1

Odds 1.53 65%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

52%   Possession   48%

10   Shots on Target   2

88%   Pass Accuracy   85%

2   Corner Kicks   5

7   Fouls   7

0 0 1
1 0 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

6

Libertad Asuncion wins

1

Draws

0

Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins

3.7

Goals / game

57%

Both scored

100%

Over 2.5

02 Mar 2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0-7
Libertad Asuncion
20 Sep 2023
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1-2
Libertad Asuncion
27 Jul 2022
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1-2
Libertad Asuncion
20 Nov 2020
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2-2
Libertad Asuncion
26 Sep 2020
Libertad Asuncion
3-0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
25 Jul 2020
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1-2
Libertad Asuncion
29 Sep 2019
Libertad Asuncion
3-0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Division Profesional - Apertura table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Olimpia
22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
2
Nacional Asuncion
22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
3
Cerro Porteno
22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
4
Sportivo Ameliano
22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
5
Sportivo Trinidense
22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
6
Libertad Asuncion
22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
7
Club Guarani
22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
8
Deportivo Recoleta
22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
9
Rubio NU
22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
10
2 de Mayo
22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
11
Sportivo Luqueno
22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
12
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15

Recent form

Libertad Asuncion

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Nacional Asuncion 3-0 W
H Cerro Porteno 0-1 L
A Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2-1 L
H Independiente F.b.c. 3-1 W
H Sportivo Luqueno 1-0 W
A Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 L
H Club Guarani 2-2 D
A Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 W
H Olimpia 0-1 L
H Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 D

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Rubio NU 2-2 D
A Nacional Asuncion 0-2 W
H Libertad Asuncion 2-1 W
H Cerro Porteno 1-3 L
A Sportivo Luqueno 3-2 L
H Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 D
A Club Guarani 1-1 D
H Deportivo Recoleta 0-0 D
H 4 de Mayo 2-1 W
H Olimpia 0-3 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.70

Libertad Asuncion

1.75

xG

Match

1.75 – 0.95

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

0.95

xG

Our tip model

65%
19%
16%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

59%
24%
16%
Libertad Asuncion Draw Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Libertad Asuncion Club Sp. San Lorenzo
70% Recent form 30%
50% Attack 50%
56% Defence 44%
74% Poisson 26%
93% Head-to-head 7%
80% Goals 20%
71% Overall 30%

Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
2
6
31-45'
2
6
46-60'
0
4
61-75'
4
5
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
7
3
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
6
2
46-60'
7
5
61-75'
7
6
76-90'
6

Side by side

Libertad Asuncion Club Sp. San Lorenzo
18 Played 18
7 Won 1
3 Drawn 5
8 Lost 12
25 Goals for 12
22 Goals against 36
5 Clean sheets 2
6 Failed to score 8

What comes next

Libertad Asuncion

Deportivo Recoleta (A) 14 Nov EASY
Rubio NU (A) 22 Nov EASY
2 de Mayo (H) 25 Nov EASY
Sportivo Ameliano (A) 29 Nov MID

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

2 de Mayo (A) 23 Nov EASY
Sportivo Ameliano (H) 25 Nov MID
Olimpia (A) 29 Nov HARD

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Libertad Asuncion are rated 65% by our tip model, with the draw at 19% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo at 16%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 3.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 57% and over 2.5 in 100%.

Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our top tip is Home Win: 1 (1.53 odds).

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Model lean: Libertad Asuncion 65%, draw 19%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 57% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Friday, 1st May 2026 at 23:00 UTC , Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

Quick Links