Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Deportivo Recoleta travel in excellent form (WLWLW) while Nacional Asuncion have struggled recently (WDLDD), making X2 at odds of 2.10 our pick for the meeting at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Paraguay: Division Profesional - Apertura
Fri, 24th Apr, 2026 Apertura - 18
Nacional Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion

W D L D D
FT
2 - 1
Deportivo Recoleta

Deportivo Recoleta

W L W L W
8' Sebastian Vargas
9' A. Wlk
25' Roberto Ramírez
28' Juan Franco
43' Juan Franco
43' Juan Franco
50' C. R. Santa
85' I. Bailone
89' Facundo Echeguren
90+3' Carlos Arrua
90+3' Nicolás Marotta
Prediction: X2 (2.10 Odds)
Double Chance 48% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Nacional Asuncion

1.55

1.55 – 1.00

Deportivo Recoleta

1.00

Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asuncion A. Gimenez

Nacional Asuncion

1.65

55% implied

Draw

3.50

26% implied

Deportivo Recoleta

4.75

19% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Double Chance Free

X2

Odds 2.10 48%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta

65%   Possession   35%

6   Shots on Target   2

86%   Pass Accuracy   73%

14   Corner Kicks   4

10   Fouls   6

0 3 2
1 4 1

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
6 games

1

Nacional Asuncion wins

4

Draws

1

Deportivo Recoleta wins

1.7

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

17%

Over 2.5

05 Mar 2026
Nacional Asuncion
1-1
Deportivo Recoleta
26 Feb 2026
Deportivo Recoleta
2-2
Nacional Asuncion
27 Nov 2025
Deportivo Recoleta
0-0
Nacional Asuncion
06 Sep 2025
Nacional Asuncion
1-0
Deportivo Recoleta
21 Apr 2025
Nacional Asuncion
1-1
Deportivo Recoleta
08 Feb 2025
Deportivo Recoleta
1-0
Nacional Asuncion

Recent form

Nacional Asuncion

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Libertad Asuncion 3-0 L
H Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-2 L
A Sportivo Luqueno 0-3 W
H Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 L
A Club Guarani 0-2 W
H Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 W
A Olimpia 1-1 D
H Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 D
H 2 de Mayo 3-0 W
A Rubio NU 0-1 W

Deportivo Recoleta

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Cerro Porteno 1-1 D
A Olimpia 4-1 L
H Sportivo Ameliano 3-0 W
A Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 W
A 2 de Mayo 1-1 D
H Rubio NU 1-0 W
A Nacional Asuncion 1-0 L
H Libertad Asuncion 1-2 L
A Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0-0 D
H Guairena FC 3-1 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.55

Nacional Asuncion

1.55

xG

Match

1.55 – 1.00

Deportivo Recoleta

1.00

xG

Our tip model

23%
29%
48%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

55%
26%
19%
Nacional Asuncion Draw Deportivo Recoleta

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Nacional Asuncion Deportivo Recoleta
40% Recent form 60%
31% Attack 69%
42% Defence 58%
66% Poisson 34%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
47% Overall 54%

Double chance : draw or Deportivo Recoleta

Season numbers

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
5
3
46-60'
8
4
61-75'
4
6
76-90'
3
5
0-15'
5
1
16-30'
1
5
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
4
3
76-90'
5

Side by side

Nacional Asuncion Deportivo Recoleta
17 Played 17
6 Won 6
8 Drawn 4
3 Lost 7
23 Goals for 26
18 Goals against 22
5 Clean sheets 4
3 Failed to score 3

What comes next

Nacional Asuncion

Cerro Porteno (H) 23 Nov MID
Rubio NU (H) 25 Nov MID
2 de Mayo (A) 29 Nov MID

Deportivo Recoleta

Libertad Asuncion (H) 14 Nov MID
Club Guarani (H) 20 Nov MID
Sportivo Trinidense (A) 25 Nov MID
Sportivo Luqueno (H) 29 Nov MID

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.10 odds).

Nacional Asuncion are rated 23% by our tip model, with the draw at 29% and Deportivo Recoleta at 48%.

In the last 6 meetings they averaged 1.7 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 17%.

Double chance : draw or Deportivo Recoleta

Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our top tip is Double Chance: X2 (2.10 odds).

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Model lean: Nacional Asuncion 23%, draw 29%, Deportivo Recoleta 48%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 1.7 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 17% of the time.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Friday, 24th April 2026 at 20:45 UTC , Estadio Arsenio Erico.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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