KäPa vs MP

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

KäPa and MP enter this one evenly matched on recent form, so we're leaning on +2.5 at odds of 1.57 (64% probability) to edge the Ykkösliiga clash.

Finland: Ykkösliiga
Fri, 9th Oct, 2026 Group Stage
KäPa

KäPa

9th in table

D D L W W
FT
1 - 1
MP

MP

7th in table

L W D W D
5' D. Ripatti
13' S. Seppanen
14' D. Ripatti
15' N. Forsell
58' O. Heinonen
65' S. Puputti
71' A. Ring
71' H. Toivonen
Prediction: +2.5 (1.57 Odds) Lost
2.5 Goals 64% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

KäPa

1.35

1.35 – 1.40

MP

1.40

Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki J. Nieminen

KäPa

1.91

46% implied

Draw

3.50

25% implied

MP

3.10

29% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

2.5 Goals Lost

+2.5

Odds 1.57 64%

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9 games

6

KäPa wins

1

Draws

2

MP wins

4.2

Goals / game

67%

Both scored

67%

Over 2.5

29 Jul 2026
MP
2-1
KäPa
19 Apr 2026
MP
0-1
KäPa
14 Sep 2024
KäPa
3-2
MP
11 Jul 2024
MP
2-6
KäPa
12 May 2024
KäPa
4-0
MP
28 Jun 2023
MP
6-2
KäPa
16 Apr 2023
KäPa
2-0
MP
26 Aug 2016
KäPa
3-2
MP
12 Jun 2016
MP
1-1
KäPa

Ykkösliiga table

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1
Kooteepee
27 18 5 4 48:26 22 59
2
PK-35
27 15 7 5 44:23 21 52
3
Haka
27 14 5 8 51:31 20 47
4
JIPPO
27 13 8 6 38:22 16 47
5
JäPS
27 12 2 13 25:41 -16 38
6
EIF
27 9 5 13 32:46 -14 32
7
MP
27 8 6 13 29:38 -9 30
8
Klubi-04
27 6 9 12 37:37 0 27
9
KäPa
27 6 7 14 33:49 -16 25
10
SJK Akatemia
27 3 8 16 23:47 -24 17

Top scorers

Ykkösliiga
# Player Team Goals
1
Ussumane Djaló
SJK Akatemia
1

Recent form

KäPa

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Rops 1-1 D
A EIF 3-2 L
H MP 1-1 D
H Haka 3-2 W
A SJK Akatemia 2-3 W
H PK-35 1-4 L
A Klubi-04 2-2 D
A JäPS 0-0 D
H JIPPO 1-3 L
A Kooteepee 2-1 L

MP

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H JäPS 1-2 L
A KäPa 1-1 D
A Kooteepee 1-1 D
H JIPPO 1-0 W
H SJK Akatemia 1-1 D
A Haka 0-2 W
H PK-35 0-3 L
A Klubi-04 4-3 L
H EIF 0-2 L
A JäPS 1-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.75

KäPa

1.35

xG

Match

1.35 – 1.40

MP

1.40

xG

Our tip model

45%
45%
10%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

46%
25%
29%
KäPa Draw MP

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

KäPa MP
50% Recent form 50%
64% Attack 36%
33% Defence 67%
47% Poisson 53%
80% Head-to-head 20%
71% Goals 29%
58% Overall 43%

Double chance : KäPa or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

6
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
5
5
31-45'
8
6
46-60'
0
7
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
10
5
0-15'
8
10
16-30'
5
7
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
6
3
61-75'
4
13
76-90'
8

Side by side

KäPa MP
25 Played 25
6 Won 8
6 Drawn 5
13 Lost 12
30 Goals for 27
45 Goals against 35
3 Clean sheets 6
7 Failed to score 7

KäPa vs MP: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: +2.5 (1.57 odds).

KäPa are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and MP at 10%.

In the last 9 meetings they averaged 4.2 goals per game, with BTTS in 67% and over 2.5 in 67%.

Double chance : KäPa or draw

KäPa vs MP FAQs

What is the best prediction for KäPa vs MP?

Our top tip is 2.5 Goals: +2.5 (1.57 odds).

Who will win KäPa vs MP?

Model lean: KäPa 45%, draw 45%, MP 10%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 67% of the last 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 4.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 67% of the time.

When is KäPa vs MP?

Friday, 9th October 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Markku.fi Areena.

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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