Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict
Barcelona arrive in strong form (W) and are well-fancied to back BTS against Real Madrid at King Abdullah Sports City, with our model giving this a 75% probability at odds of 1.34.
Spain: Super Cup
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
Total 4.05
Barcelona
3.00
3.00 – 1.05
Real Madrid
1.05
Barcelona
2.0249% implied
Draw
4.1624% implied
Real Madrid
3.5628% implied
1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)
GG
BTS
Barcelona vs Real Madrid
68% Possession 32%
7 Shots on Target 10
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
5 Corner Kicks 6
18 Fouls 12
5
Barcelona wins
0
Draws
2
Real Madrid wins
4.9
Goals / game
86%
Both scored
100%
Over 2.5
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Barcelona
| # | Player | Team | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Raphinha
|
Barcelona
|
4 |
| 2 |
A. Sørloth
|
Atletico Madrid
|
1 |
Barcelona
3.00
xG
Match
3.00 – 1.05
Real Madrid
1.05
xG
Our tip model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Winner : Barcelona
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Villarreal
(H)
22 Nov
MID
Sabah FA
(A)
25 Nov
MID
Deportivo La Coruna
(A)
29 Nov
MID
Atletico Madrid
(H)
02 Dec
MID
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
(H)
21 Nov
MID
PSV Eindhoven
(H)
24 Nov
MID
Alaves
(H)
28 Nov
MID
Real Sociedad
(A)
02 Dec
MID
Our top tip is BTTS/GG: BTS (1.34 odds).
Barcelona are rated 45% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Real Madrid at 10%.
In the last 7 meetings they averaged 4.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 86% and over 2.5 in 100%.
Winner : Barcelona
Our top tip is BTTS/GG: BTS (1.34 odds).
Model lean: Barcelona 45%, draw 45%, Real Madrid 10%.
Both teams scored in 86% of the last 7 meetings.
Recent H2H averaged 4.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 100% of the time.
Sunday, 11th January 2026 at 19:00 UTC , King Abdullah Sports City.
Barcelona arrive in strong form (W) and are well-fancied to back BTS against Real Madrid at King Abdullah Sports City, with our model giving this a 75% probability at odds of 1.34.
Teams: Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Date: Sun, Jan 11, 2026
Time: 19:00 UTC
Venue: King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Check our prediction page now to see the complete Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction, analysis, and odds for today.
Networks:
Trusted football Prediction WebsiteWritten by
Sam M
Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict