Algeria vs Nigeria

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Algeria arrive in strong form (WWWW) and are well-fancied to back X2 against Nigeria at Stade de Marrakech, with our model giving this a 71% probability at odds of 1.41.

World: Africa Cup of Nations
Sat, 10th Jan, 2026 Quarter-finals
Algeria

Algeria

W W W W
FT
0 - 2
Nigeria

Nigeria

W W W W
15' Ramiz Zerrouki
28' Mohamed Amoura
47' V. Osimhen
57' A. Adams
62' Rayan Aït-Nouri
67' Wilfred Ndidi
68' Anis Hadj Moussa
75' Hicham Boudaoui
85' Stanley Nwabali
90+9' Moses Simon
Prediction: X2 (1.41 Odds) Won
Free Tip 71% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.90

Algeria

1.35

1.35 – 1.55

Nigeria

1.55

Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech Issa Sy, Senegal

Algeria

3.40

29% implied

Draw

3.00

33% implied

Nigeria

2.54

39% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Free Tip Won

X2

Odds 1.41 71%
Win Either Half Won

AWEH

Odds 1.78 56%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Algeria vs Nigeria

43%   Possession   57%

0   Shots on Target   5

77%   Pass Accuracy   83%

2   Corner Kicks   4

23   Fouls   14

0 5 2
2 3 0

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

2

Algeria wins

1

Draws

1

Nigeria wins

3

Goals / game

100%

Both scored

75%

Over 2.5

27 Sep 2022
Algeria
2-1
Nigeria
14 Jul 2019
Algeria
2-1
Nigeria
10 Nov 2017
Algeria
1-1
Nigeria
12 Nov 2016
Nigeria
3-1
Algeria

Recent form

Algeria

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Niger 2-1 W
A Burundi 2-2 D
H Zambia 3-1 W
A Switzerland 2-0 L
H Austria 3-3 D
A Jordan 1-2 W
A Argentina 3-0 L
A Bolivia 0-4 W
A Netherlands 0-1 W
H Uruguay 0-0 D

Nigeria

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Russia 3-3 D
A Guinea-Bissau 3-0 L
H Madagascar 2-1 W
A Portugal 2-1 L
A Poland 2-2 D
A Jamaica 0-3 W
H Zimbabwe 2-0 W
A Jordan 2-2 D
A Iran 1-2 W
A Algeria 0-2 W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 2.90

Algeria

1.35

xG

Match

1.35 – 1.55

Nigeria

1.55

xG

Our tip model

13%
16%
71%

API-Football

45%
45%
10%

Bookmaker

29%
33%
39%
Algeria Draw Nigeria

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Algeria Nigeria
50% Recent form 50%
40% Attack 60%
80% Defence 20%
100% Poisson 0%
64% Head-to-head 36%
50% Goals 50%
57% Overall 43%

Double chance : Algeria or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Algeria Nigeria
4 Played 4
4 Won 4
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
8 Goals for 12
1 Goals against 4
3 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Algeria

Togo (H) 14 Nov MID
Togo (A) 17 Nov MID
Zambia (A) 24 Mar MID
Burundi (H) 28 Mar MID

Nigeria

Tanzania (H) 13 Nov MID
Tanzania (A) 17 Nov MID
Madagascar (A) 24 Mar MID
Guinea-Bissau (H) 28 Mar MID

Algeria vs Nigeria: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: X2 (1.41 odds).

Algeria are rated 13% by our tip model, with the draw at 16% and Nigeria at 71%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 3 goals per game, with BTTS in 100% and over 2.5 in 75%.

Double chance : Algeria or draw

Algeria vs Nigeria FAQs

What is the best prediction for Algeria vs Nigeria?

Our top tip is Free Tip: X2 (1.41 odds).

Who will win Algeria vs Nigeria?

Model lean: Algeria 13%, draw 16%, Nigeria 71%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 100% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 3 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 75% of the time.

When is Algeria vs Nigeria?

Saturday, 10th January 2026 at 16:00 UTC , Stade de Marrakech.

S

Written by

Sam M

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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