Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

Ivory Coast arrive in strong form (WDW) and are well-fancied to back Over 1.5 against Burkina Faso at Stade de Marrakech, with our model giving this a 72% probability at odds of 1.38.

World: Africa Cup of Nations
Tue, 6th Jan, 2026 Round of 16
Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast

W D W
FT
3 - 0
Burkina Faso

Burkina Faso

W L W
5' Adamo Nagalo
20' A. Diallo
32' Y. Diomande
63' Christ Inao Oulaï
66' Ibrahim Sangaré
87' B. Toure
Prediction: Over 1.5 (1.38 Odds) Won
1.5 Goals 72% confidence

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.50

Ivory Coast

0.75

0.75 – 0.75

Burkina Faso

0.75

Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech Ali Mahmood Mahmood Ismail, Sudan

Ivory Coast

1.87

52% implied

Draw

3.42

29% implied

Burkina Faso

5.15

19% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

1.5 Goals Won

Over 1.5

Odds 1.38 72%
Free Tip Won

Ov 1.5

Odds 1.38 72%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso

58%   Possession   42%

4   Shots on Target   2

90%   Pass Accuracy   82%

5   Corner Kicks   2

20   Fouls   17

0 2 0
0 1 0

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4 games

2

Ivory Coast wins

0

Draws

2

Burkina Faso wins

2.5

Goals / game

50%

Both scored

50%

Over 2.5

28 Dec 2024
Burkina Faso
2-0
Ivory Coast
22 Dec 2024
Ivory Coast
2-0
Burkina Faso
19 Nov 2022
Burkina Faso
2-1
Ivory Coast
05 Jun 2021
Ivory Coast
2-1
Burkina Faso

Recent form

Ivory Coast

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Cameroon 0-1 L
A Somalia 0-2 W
H Ghana 2-0 W
H Norway 1-2 L
A Curaçao 0-2 W
A Germany 2-1 L
H Ecuador 1-0 W
A Philadelphia Union II 0-2 W
A France 1-2 W
A Scotland 0-1 W

Burkina Faso

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Argentina 7-0 L
A Central African Republic 0-1 W
H Benin 1-1 D
A Belarus 2-2 D
A Russia 3-0 L
H Guinea-Bissau 1-1 D
H Guinea-Bissau 5-0 W
A Ivory Coast 3-0 L
A Sudan 0-2 W
A Algeria 1-0 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Expected Goals (xG)

Total 1.50

Ivory Coast

0.75

xG

Match

0.75 – 0.75

Burkina Faso

0.75

xG

Our tip model

10%
45%
45%

API-Football

10%
45%
45%

Bookmaker

52%
29%
19%
Ivory Coast Draw Burkina Faso

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals 0%
Over 2.5 goals 0%
Over 3.5 goals 0%
Both teams to score 0%

Team comparison

Ivory Coast Burkina Faso
54% Recent form 46%
56% Attack 44%
40% Defence 60%
45% Poisson 55%
50% Head-to-head 50%
50% Goals 50%
49% Overall 51%

Combo Double chance : draw or Burkina Faso and -3.5 goals

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1

Side by side

Ivory Coast Burkina Faso
3 Played 3
2 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
5 Goals for 4
3 Goals against 2
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1

What comes next

Ivory Coast

Gambia (H) 12 Nov MID
Gambia (A) 17 Nov MID
Ghana (A) 24 Mar MID
Somalia (H) 28 Mar MID

Burkina Faso

Mauritania (H) 13 Nov MID
Mauritania (A) 17 Nov MID
Benin (A) 24 Mar MID
Central African Republic (H) 28 Mar MID

Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso: preview and prediction

Our top tip is 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 (1.38 odds).

Ivory Coast are rated 10% by our tip model, with the draw at 45% and Burkina Faso at 45%.

In the last 4 meetings they averaged 2.5 goals per game, with BTTS in 50% and over 2.5 in 50%.

Combo Double chance : draw or Burkina Faso and -3.5 goals

Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso?

Our top tip is 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 (1.38 odds).

Who will win Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso?

Model lean: Ivory Coast 10%, draw 45%, Burkina Faso 45%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 50% of the last 4 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 50% of the time.

When is Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso?

Tuesday, 6th January 2026 at 19:00 UTC , Stade de Marrakech.

J

Written by

Joshua J

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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