Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille

Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips — expert analysis powered by HelloPredict

With a 76% probability rating, 1X stands out as the confident call for Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille in the Trophée des Champions, priced at odds of 1.31.

France: Trophée des Champions
Thu, 8th Jan, 2026 Final
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

PEN
2 - 2
Marseille

Marseille

13' Ousmane Dembélé
48' Timothy Weah
53' Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
63' Warren Zaïre-Emery
76' Mason Greenwood
86' Facundo Medina
87' Willian Pacho
89' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
90+5' Gonçalo Ramos
Prediction: 1X (1.31 Odds) Won
Free Tip 76% confidence
Thomas Leonard, France

Paris Saint Germain

1.62

61% implied

Draw

4.42

22% implied

Marseille

5.84

17% implied

1X2 bookmaker odds · implied probability (normalized)

All our tips for this match

Win Either Half Lost

HWEH

Odds 1.28 78%
Free Tip Won

1X

Odds 1.31 76%

Match statistics

Match Statistics

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille

54%   Possession   46%

6   Shots on Target   6

89%   Pass Accuracy   86%

3   Corner Kicks   12

11   Fouls   11

0 1 2
2 4 0

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7 games

5

Paris Saint Germain wins

0

Draws

2

Marseille wins

2.9

Goals / game

29%

Both scored

71%

Over 2.5

22 Sep 2025
Marseille
1-0
Paris Saint Germain
16 Mar 2025
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Marseille
27 Oct 2024
Marseille
0-3
Paris Saint Germain
31 Mar 2024
Marseille
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
24 Sep 2023
Paris Saint Germain
4-0
Marseille
26 Feb 2023
Marseille
0-3
Paris Saint Germain
08 Feb 2023
Marseille
2-1
Paris Saint Germain

Recent form

Paris Saint Germain

10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
H Estac Troyes 1-0 W
A Villarreal 0-6 W
A Le Havre 1-5 W
H Lyon 2-0 W
H Barcelona 4-2 W
A Strasbourg 1-3 W
A Manchester City 2-4 W
H Le Mans 3-1 W
A Marseille 1-2 W
A Stade Brestois 29 0-1 W

Marseille

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
Scored Conceded
A Lens 1-2 W
A Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 W
H Toulouse 2-0 W
H Le Havre 4-3 W
A Sturm Graz 1-0 L
A Angers 2-5 W
H Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 L
A Estac Troyes 0-2 W
H Paris Saint Germain 1-2 L
A Beşiktaş 4-1 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our tip model

76%
13%
11%

API-Football

50%
50%

Bookmaker

61%
22%
17%
Paris Saint Germain Draw Marseille

Team comparison

Paris Saint Germain Marseille
80% Head-to-head 20%
86% Goals 14%
83% Overall 17%

Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

Season numbers

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0

Side by side

Paris Saint Germain Marseille
0 Played 0
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
0 Goals for 0
0 Goals against 0
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0

What comes next

Paris Saint Germain

Nice (A) 21 Nov MID
AS Roma (H) 25 Nov MID
Lorient (H) 28 Nov MID
Toulouse (A) 04 Dec MID

Marseille

Le Mans (H) 22 Nov MID
Levski Sofia (H) 26 Nov MID
Auxerre (A) 29 Nov MID
Nice (H) 06 Dec MID

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1X (1.31 odds).

Paris Saint Germain are rated 76% by our tip model, with the draw at 13% and Marseille at 11%.

In the last 7 meetings they averaged 2.9 goals per game, with BTTS in 29% and over 2.5 in 71%.

Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1X (1.31 odds).

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille?

Model lean: Paris Saint Germain 76%, draw 13%, Marseille 11%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scored in 29% of the last 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected? (xG)

Recent H2H averaged 2.9 goals per game, with over 2.5 landing 71% of the time.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille?

Thursday, 8th January 2026 at 18:00 UTC .

M

Written by

Matoski

Football Analyst & Predictor · HelloPredict

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